NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	96		Excitement	5.6 [684]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (ORL): +15.8%
Orlando Magic	104		Comeback	2.4 [531]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -14.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.04	10	77%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	18	51%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Dale Ellis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	15	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Baron Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Todd Fuller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.03	9	74%	0.17	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	72%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	6	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	9	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	62%	0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.04	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	11	43%	-0.09	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	27.3	15.8	26.0	2.0	28.0	129.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.7%

ORL +6.8%

ORL +17.9%

CHH -5.0%

CHH -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ORL	NBA	CHH	ORL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.2	100.0	108.3	101.7
season	14.9	13.6		101.5	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		99.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.5	19.0	15.6	14.9	15.9
ORL	13.2	13.7	13.2	16.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	22	23	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-13	18	14.1	16.5	-2.32	13.0	14.4	-1.35
Eddie Robinson	34	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-15	22	14.7	16.6	-1.89	15.8	13.1	2.72
Dale Ellis	43	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-6	4	15.9	16.0	-0.08	11.7	15.9	-4.24
Chucky Brown	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-7	6	16.4	15.6	0.73	15.1	13.4	1.64
Baron Davis	34	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-3	-2	15.8	16.0	-0.21	15.8	13.1	2.76
Anthony Mason	79	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	15.7	16.9	-1.16	13.7	15.6	-1.84
Ricky Davis	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	1	-10	16.2	15.8	0.43	15.2	13.3	1.93
David Wesley	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	16.0	15.7	0.27	13.1	16.0	-2.89
Elden Campbell	46	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	3	-14	17.9	14.1	3.73	14.8	13.4	1.45
Eddie Jones	82	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.20	-14	6	-20	15.7	17.2	-1.51	13.7	15.9	-2.13

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	41	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-3	14	14.7	13.6	1.11	16.9	15.2	1.70
John Amaechi	42	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	-5	18	12.7	15.1	-2.42	17.5	14.7	2.71
Pat Garrity	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	-3	14	15.4	12.2	3.13	16.2	15.5	0.68
Ron Mercer	69	71	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	1	6	13.3	16.0	-2.63	15.1	18.3	-3.24
Chucky Atkins	40	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	2	4	15.2	13.2	2.02	17.2	15.1	2.11
Bo Outlaw	55	56	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	9	-10	14.0	14.1	-0.09	15.0	17.2	-2.27
Darrell Armstrong	59	59	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	4	0	13.3	15.4	-2.12	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Corey Maggette	29	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	7	-6	15.4	13.5	1.97	18.0	15.1	2.98
Michael Doleac	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	15	-22	15.7	13.1	2.63	15.5	16.1	-0.60
Ben Wallace	54	54	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	12.5	16.1	-3.64	15.2	16.8	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 81, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
PHI 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%
POR 95, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%