NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	5.7 [700]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (CHA): +23.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	110		Comeback	1.9 [680]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -14.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	8	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Jeter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.03	16	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jermaine Taylor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	13	44%	-0.00	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	61%	0.04	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	59%	0.03	7	-0.17	4	75%	-0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.12	0.02	19	62%	0.25	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.05	0.02	11	85%	0.24	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	17	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	13	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	10	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.5	31.3	15.7	25.4	1.8	28.2	130.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +19.0%

CHA +17.3%

SAC -6.8%

CHA +23.1%

SAC -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	15.5	103.2	115.8	105.7
season	14.9	16.2		102.1	102.3
opponent	15.5	14.9		106.5	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.2	13.3	14.8	14.8	14.3
CHA	17.1	15.0	15.2	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	55	56	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-19	26	14.5	14.0	0.45	17.2	14.4	2.83
Omri Casspi	54	55	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-15	18	14.4	14.0	0.38	16.2	15.8	0.44
Jermaine Taylor	62	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-9	6	13.6	15.5	-1.92	16.9	14.4	2.52
Beno Udrih	72	73	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-11	10	14.5	13.6	0.86	16.0	16.1	-0.05
Samuel Dalembert	54	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-11	10	14.7	13.7	0.98	16.1	16.0	0.01
Darnell Jackson	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-2	-8	12.4	15.0	-2.64	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Donte Greene	25	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-2	-8	14.0	14.4	-0.41	14.1	16.7	-2.54
Pooh Jeter	23	22	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-1	-10	13.6	14.5	-0.86	16.1	16.0	0.05
Marcus Thornton	49	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	2	-16	15.1	13.4	1.69	15.7	16.4	-0.78
DeMarcus Cousins	54	54	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.00	-20	8	-28	14.6	13.8	0.76	15.1	17.4	-2.31

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	49	49	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.05	20	-8	28	14.7	17.5	-2.76	14.8	13.7	1.10
Kwame Brown	90	89	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	2	8	16.4	10.4	5.97	14.0	17.7	-3.63
Eduardo Najera	43	43	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	2	8	15.7	16.4	-0.69	15.4	13.3	2.11
Shaun Livingston	34	34	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	1	10	15.7	16.2	-0.49	14.9	13.9	0.96
Stephen Jackson	76	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	10	-8	16.2	15.4	0.79	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Boris Diaw	58	59	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	8	-4	15.8	16.4	-0.62	13.9	14.8	-0.87
D.J. Augustin	61	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	11	-10	16.2	15.7	0.49	13.9	14.9	-0.96
Gerald Henderson	64	63	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	10	-8	16.9	14.3	2.66	13.9	15.0	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 82, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 100, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.69,0.6,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.0%
SAC 97, ATL 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%