inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 97 Excitement5.5 [725] MVPKevin Martin (SAC): +21.0%
Atlanta Hawks 119 Comeback2.0 [1131] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -12.2%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.210,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.180.030.001469%0.232-0.021788%0.07
Andres Nocioni0.090,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.000.01779%0.0900.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.001100%0.0400.002100%0.01
Jason Thompson0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00954%0.031-0.02683%0.01
Spencer Hawes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.01-0.041347%0.031-0.02450%-0.01
Rashad McCants-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.02633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Solomon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.00-0.0760%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Donte Greene-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02475%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Beno Udrih-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.001231%-0.081-0.022100%0.01
Francisco Garcia-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.08-0.03-0.01737%-0.033-0.082100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.180.040.021372%0.221-0.03683%0.01
Josh Smith0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.080.06-0.031470%0.213-0.042100%0.01
Ronald Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.01857%0.091-0.02560%-0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.01-0.021272%0.174-0.101100%0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.110.000.06780%0.0500.001100%0.00
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Acie Law0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.00-0.02462%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Thomas Gardner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.00560%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.19,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.032143%0.066-0.18560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.21.733.116.727.81.830.2135.4
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +69.8%
SAC -14.1%
ATL +1.7%
SAC -12.8%
ATL +5.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACATLNBASACATLNBA
this game15.215.415.5103.2126.6106.4
season15.015.8104.0106.7
opponent16.115.1106.0112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.113.516.615.715.2
ATL16.216.512.916.315.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andres Nocioni4544-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-181415.514.90.5517.014.12.94
Spencer Hawes7577-0.14-0.360.220.12-9-13415.514.01.5114.718.9-4.28
Will Solomon2022-0.16-0.340.190.28-15-7-816.914.72.1616.215.20.97
Calvin Booth119-0.18-0.320.14-0.04-5-171211.915.6-3.7317.715.22.47
Donte Greene2626-0.19-0.310.120.16-12-10-214.815.4-0.5515.515.40.09
Jason Thompson5757-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-161015.015.5-0.5115.215.8-0.57
Kevin Martin7069-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-11014.816.3-1.4615.615.10.49
Beno Udrih7473-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.13-8-14614.716.9-2.1615.216.2-1.03
Rashad McCants3839-0.37-0.13-0.250.18-19-3-1614.815.5-0.6914.915.8-0.83
Francisco Garcia5454-0.44-0.06-0.370.18-21-1-2016.413.62.7915.315.6-0.33

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronald Murray53500.60-0.100.70-0.2228-63415.115.9-0.7816.413.82.64
Acie Law35340.54-0.040.58-0.2226-43016.614.81.8115.814.90.93
Al Horford64640.430.070.37-0.01157816.313.62.7515.015.7-0.78
Joe Johnson71720.380.120.250.081012-215.216.1-0.9215.115.5-0.45
Zaza Pachulia36340.250.25-0.00-0.101210214.715.9-1.1616.714.42.31
Josh Smith71730.230.27-0.04-0.00814-615.913.92.0715.015.9-0.90
Solomon Jones770.080.42-0.33-0.00319-1611.415.8-4.3310.415.6-5.16
Mike Bibby71710.080.42-0.34-0.01319-1615.614.90.6914.816.3-1.52
Mario West11110.000.50-0.50-0.14517-1212.215.9-3.6916.515.01.42
Thomas Gardner340.000.50-0.500.03-123-2415.315.4-0.1114.515.2-0.73
Maurice Evans4850-0.100.60-0.69-0.13121-2015.015.9-0.8514.316.2-1.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 102, LAC 1100.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,194.1%
SAC 98, CHA 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.0%
SAS 67, POR 810.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.8%