NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	102		Excitement	5.9 [594]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +19.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	110		Comeback	2.2 [637]		LVP	Lee Mayberry (VAN): -10.0%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	23	57%	0.12	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Sam Mack	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.03	17	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Pete Chilcutt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	13	62%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
Lee Mayberry	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	0.01	9	85%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.10	-0.04	13	69%	0.22	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	18	54%	0.05	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.04	17	56%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	0.7	25.0	16.4	23.3	0.7	33.3	121.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.8%

VAN -0.9%

LAC +0.5%

LAC +20.3%

VAN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	LAC	NBA	VAN	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	15.6	105.2	111.1	102.5
season	15.1	15.5		101.3	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.8	15.4	13.8	13.6	14.4
LAC	17.2	12.3	16.9	14.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mack	67	68	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-14	20	14.2	14.9	-0.67	14.8	15.3	-0.45
Chris Robinson	26	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-7	6	15.7	13.9	1.71	15.0	15.0	0.08
Otis Thorpe	82	83	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-6	4	13.8	17.7	-3.86	15.1	14.2	0.95
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	85	88	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-12	16	14.2	15.7	-1.44	15.3	12.7	2.53
George Lynch	22	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	4	-16	14.3	14.4	-0.11	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Lee Mayberry	71	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-1	-6	13.9	15.7	-1.71	15.0	15.0	-0.08
Pete Chilcutt	33	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	1	-10	15.2	14.0	1.23	14.4	15.3	-0.95
Bryant Reeves	69	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	15.0	13.0	1.97	15.2	14.4	0.77
Blue Edwards	30	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	6	-20	14.9	14.2	0.67	15.3	14.8	0.45

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	47	45	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.19	21	-13	34	13.0	16.8	-3.81	14.9	14.0	0.87
Maurice Taylor	67	66	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.18	14	-6	20	13.7	17.7	-3.95	14.0	15.3	-1.26
Rodney Rogers	80	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	3	2	14.7	15.9	-1.20	14.9	12.2	2.74
Keith Closs	26	26	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-7	22	12.3	15.9	-3.62	15.4	14.0	1.34
Brent Barry	90	87	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	7	-6	14.9	15.7	-0.76	14.4	14.8	-0.44
Lamond Murray	51	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	11	-14	17.0	12.8	4.21	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Darrick Martin	61	62	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	14	-20	16.6	12.3	4.28	14.1	14.9	-0.76
Stojko Vrankovic	46	46	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.06	-13	21	-34	17.0	13.2	3.85	14.3	14.5	-0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, ATL 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NOH 88, GSW 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%
NOH 87, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%