NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	88		Excitement	5.6 [681]		MVP	Jarrett Jack (GSW): +18.0%
Golden State Warriors	98		Comeback	2.7 [816]		LVP	Anthony Davis (NOH): -13.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.06	-0.02	8	87%	0.18	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	17	47%	0.01	0	0.00	11	91%	0.03
Darius Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Terrel Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	11	25%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.09	0.01	11	79%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.03	14	62%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	15	64%	0.14	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	28.0	14.6	27.3	0.7	32.2	129.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +55.2%

GSW +0.7%

GSW +5.9%

NOH -11.4%

NOH -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.4	93.6	105.4	104.1
season	16.3	14.6		103.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.7	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.5	18.6	16.0	14.3	15.5
GSW	14.7	14.8	16.0	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	67	67	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.20	7	-17	24	14.8	17.2	-2.35	15.6	14.4	1.26
Xavier Henry	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-16	22	8.7	15.7	-7.07	14.3	15.3	-0.99
Al-Farouq Aminu	64	63	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-10	10	15.1	16.3	-1.21	15.7	14.4	1.31
Eric Gordon	67	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	15.3	15.9	-0.58	15.3	15.3	0.02
Terrel Harris	14	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-6	2	16.6	15.3	1.25	13.3	15.6	-2.30
Greivis Vasquez	72	72	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-5	0	15.1	16.8	-1.65	15.4	14.8	0.62
Lou Amundson	16	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	17.6	15.1	2.55	14.6	15.4	-0.86
Anthony Davis	64	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-2	-6	15.6	15.3	0.36	14.8	16.2	-1.40
Ryan Anderson	38	37	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	7	-24	16.2	15.1	1.09	15.8	14.9	0.91
Brian Roberts	38	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-5	0	16.0	15.2	0.82	15.5	15.1	0.41
Darius Miller	27	27	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	0	-10	16.6	15.1	1.57	14.5	15.6	-1.09

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	69	71	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.08	22	-12	34	14.9	16.4	-1.46	16.3	13.0	3.38
Jarrett Jack	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-10	30	16.3	12.4	3.87	15.6	15.4	0.17
David Lee	74	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-8	26	14.7	17.5	-2.81	16.0	13.3	2.76
Carl Landry	35	34	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-4	18	16.3	14.7	1.64	16.6	14.9	1.78
Stephen Curry	69	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.04	14	-4	18	14.5	17.5	-2.92	15.8	14.4	1.44
Draymond Green	33	31	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	11	-12	16.3	14.7	1.52	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Andrew Bogut	52	53	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	10	-10	14.8	15.9	-1.09	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Kent Bazemore	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	16	-22	14.3	15.3	-0.99	8.7	15.7	-7.07
Richard Jefferson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	14.3	15.3	-0.99	8.7	15.7	-7.07
Festus Ezeli	19	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.19	-8	18	-26	17.5	14.7	2.81	13.3	16.0	-2.76
Harrison Barnes	39	41	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.26	-17	27	-44	14.6	15.8	-1.25	14.2	16.5	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 102, LAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.93,1,1,1	94.0%
SAC 98, DEN 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
POR 98, PHX 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%