NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	67		Excitement	4.9 [828]		MVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): +11.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	81		Comeback	1.6 [777]		LVP	David Robinson (SAS): -19.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	5	45%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	10	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	7	20%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	2	44%	-0.03	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.02
Jerome Kersey	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	8	24%	-0.11	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
David Robinson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	12	39%	-0.09	3	-0.11	7	29%	-0.09

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	78%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	8	56%	0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	10	42%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.8	29.4	19.6	26.2	2.7	29.2	137.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +37.0%

POR +8.0%

SAS -1.3%

POR +7.1%

SAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	16.6	16.0	15.2	75.3	92.0	101.7
season	15.5	15.9		101.6	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.1	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.1	15.1	16.8	17.4	16.6
POR	17.1	14.2	15.1	17.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-9	4	11.5	17.7	-6.28	16.3	15.9	0.38
Mario Elie	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-11	8	16.2	16.8	-0.59	14.5	17.2	-2.73
Jerome Kersey	50	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-12	10	16.6	16.5	0.07	15.1	17.1	-1.99
Malik Rose	46	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-6	-2	16.7	16.3	0.39	15.6	16.4	-0.80
Avery Johnson	56	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-11	8	16.8	16.1	0.78	15.3	17.1	-1.84
Tim Duncan	50	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-11	8	16.9	16.1	0.80	16.5	15.3	1.24
Jaren Jackson	42	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	16.4	16.7	-0.23	17.2	14.9	2.30
Antonio Daniels	33	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	16.1	16.8	-0.78	17.1	15.3	1.84
Terry Porter	46	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-2	-10	16.9	16.2	0.75	17.1	14.7	2.39
David Robinson	65	64	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	-2	-10	17.5	14.0	3.44	15.8	16.6	-0.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	44	43	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-5	24	16.4	15.6	0.75	16.0	17.0	-1.02
Bonzi Wells	35	35	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-4	22	14.9	16.7	-1.74	16.7	16.5	0.22
Rasheed Wallace	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	15.7	17.3	-1.62	16.1	18.2	-2.04
Scottie Pippen	60	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	6	2	15.7	16.6	-0.85	16.6	16.5	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	29	30	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	7	0	15.3	16.3	-0.96	17.1	16.3	0.78
Brian Grant	27	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	8	-2	16.5	15.8	0.71	18.1	15.8	2.32
Detlef Schrempf	30	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	10	-6	17.5	15.2	2.29	16.4	16.6	-0.28
Steven Smith	58	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	12	-10	16.5	15.0	1.55	15.7	18.1	-2.37
Arvydas Sabonis	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	16	-18	16.1	15.9	0.25	17.0	16.1	0.84
Damon Stoudamire	44	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	19	-24	15.6	16.4	-0.75	17.0	16.0	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%
TOR 97, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 117, CLE 124	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%