NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	5.3 [746]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (MIL): +32.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	1.6 [398]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -22.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tamar Slay	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	18	56%	0.10	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.05	10	62%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	11	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	7	6%	-0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.09	0.02	14	37%	-0.12	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.21	0.09	-0.02	10	93%	0.32	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	7	93%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	22	60%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	25.2	16.6	24.2	2.6	31.6	130.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +61.1%

MIL +1.0%

NJN -3.4%

NJN -3.5%

NJN -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.5	105.7	113.8	101.6
season	15.0	15.4		101.1	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.9		106.5	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	19.7	14.8	15.0	16.0
MIL	17.0	18.2	16.5	16.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tamar Slay	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	22.1	15.3	6.83	18.1	16.8	1.30
Jason Collins	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-6	6	18.9	15.5	3.46	18.0	16.7	1.26
Dikembe Mutombo	51	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-8	10	16.1	15.8	0.38	17.3	16.4	0.88
Lucious Harris	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.23	3	-9	12	15.8	16.2	-0.36	16.9	17.1	-0.20
Richard Jefferson	47	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-3	0	15.9	16.1	-0.18	16.4	17.7	-1.27
Rodney Rogers	49	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	15.7	16.3	-0.64	17.1	16.7	0.36
Kenyon Martin	71	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.5	18.2	-2.73	17.1	16.4	0.63
Kerry Kittles	50	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	1	-8	15.7	16.3	-0.60	16.6	17.4	-0.85
Jason Kidd	72	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	15.2	19.4	-4.23	16.9	17.3	-0.45
Aaron Williams	30	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	7	-20	17.0	15.5	1.50	16.8	17.0	-0.27

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	52	55	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-5	16	16.7	17.2	-0.48	16.2	15.6	0.59
Kevin Ollie	34	34	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	-2	10	17.3	16.7	0.53	16.5	15.7	0.80
Ervin Johnson	33	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	-1	8	17.7	16.5	1.22	15.2	16.4	-1.18
Michael Redd	36	34	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	2	2	16.7	17.1	-0.42	16.4	15.7	0.66
Anthony Mason	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	7	-8	17.3	15.7	1.68	15.9	16.3	-0.45
Ray Allen	61	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	6	-6	17.1	16.6	0.47	15.5	17.1	-1.54
Dan Gadzuric	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	6	-6	16.2	17.6	-1.32	16.0	16.0	-0.00
Tim Thomas	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	6	-6	16.2	17.8	-1.60	15.7	16.3	-0.55
Sam Cassell	53	54	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.13	-2	8	-10	16.7	17.3	-0.53	15.7	16.5	-0.80
Jason Caffey	10	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	3	0	19.1	16.7	2.44	20.1	15.4	4.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 67, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
IND 89, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
MIN 86, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%