NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	2.4 [1201]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +9.7%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.0 [626]		LVP	Jason Caffey (CHI): -9.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	19	64%	0.10	1	-0.01	12	92%	0.02
Robert Parish	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	7	86%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	8	39%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	19	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	41%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	30%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	3	100%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	-0.09	2	37%	-0.01	7	-0.08	4	25%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	20	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Evric Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	6	64%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	7	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	19	60%	-0.01	5	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	10	39%	-0.01	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	26.2	15.7	26.1	0.2	21.3	116.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.1%

CHI +6.0%

CHI +6.1%

NJN -3.6%

CHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	15.6	108.7	88.5	104.4
season	15.5	15.4		110.5	101.7
opponent	14.9	16.1		106.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.3	13.3	14.4	18.4	14.2
NJN	13.1	14.9	12.8	13.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.35	27	-6	33	12.6	18.2	-5.61	13.8	12.9	0.93
Robert Parish	44	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.26	21	0	21	14.8	13.7	1.07	13.4	13.6	-0.18
Toni Kukoc	51	52	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.29	22	-1	23	14.8	13.5	1.35	14.0	13.0	1.00
Ron Harper	54	53	0.30	0.19	0.11	-0.11	14	7	7	13.1	15.3	-2.21	12.7	14.4	-1.68
Scottie Pippen	77	79	0.30	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	10	1	14.1	14.4	-0.29	12.4	17.2	-4.87
Randy Brown	35	36	0.26	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	11	-1	13.7	14.4	-0.66	16.3	12.1	4.27
Jud Buechler	25	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	14	-7	14.2	14.1	0.11	17.2	12.3	4.82
Bill Wennington	48	48	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	14	-7	12.6	15.5	-2.92	13.6	13.4	0.20
Jason Caffey	67	64	0.13	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	24	-27	14.7	13.2	1.41	12.6	15.0	-2.46
Dickey Simpkins	11	11	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	26	-31	18.5	13.6	4.91	14.7	13.4	1.33
Steve Kerr	32	31	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	27	-33	18.0	12.5	5.51	11.7	14.3	-2.61

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier McDaniel	10	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	10.0	13.9	-3.91	16.7	13.9	2.75
Evric Gray	31	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-25	29	12.1	14.1	-2.01	17.8	12.5	5.28
Yinka Dare	29	29	-0.04	-0.45	0.41	-0.19	5	-26	31	13.6	13.5	0.07	16.9	13.1	3.85
Ed O'Bannon	23	23	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-23	25	13.8	13.5	0.31	17.9	13.1	4.77
Khalid Reeves	22	23	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	-12	3	12.9	13.7	-0.86	16.2	13.6	2.59
Adrian Caldwell	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-20	19	13.4	13.7	-0.30	14.5	13.9	0.54
Tony Massenburg	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.32	-23	2	-25	14.6	12.0	2.58	13.4	15.4	-2.00
Shawn Bradley	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.38	-27	6	-33	13.2	14.1	-0.89	13.0	15.7	-2.67
Robert Pack	78	77	-0.41	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	-1	-19	13.4	13.9	-0.46	13.1	17.2	-4.14
Kendall Gill	66	64	-0.41	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	1	-23	14.4	12.1	2.26	12.1	17.4	-5.32
Kerry Kittles	92	92	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	-3	-15	13.6	12.9	0.70	13.7	17.2	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, DAL 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SAS 120, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
BOS 109, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%