NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	2.6 [1244]		MVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): +9.2%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.1 [940]		LVP	Blake Griffin (DET): -15.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.04	0.02	8	70%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Daniel Theis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	9	85%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	12	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	59%	0.06	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	60%	0.04	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Robert Williams III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	56%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	30%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	9	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	70%	0.11	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	64%	0.05	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0.02	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	-0.02	13	23%	-0.11	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	29.2	14.6	29.5	2.3	26.5	128.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.5%

BOS +3.3%

BOS +8.4%

DET -0.0%

BOS +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	14.3	106.9	88.1	109.3
season	13.9	15.3		109.9	107.5
opponent	14.0	14.7		109.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.5	12.5	15.3	15.1	13.8
DET	13.2	17.0	12.3	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	53	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.31	23	-3	26	12.8	15.0	-2.21	16.4	12.4	4.04
Kyrie Irving	51	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	7	6	12.6	15.0	-2.41	15.3	13.8	1.51
Marcus Morris	54	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	6	8	14.4	13.2	1.10	12.8	16.4	-3.54
Daniel Theis	41	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.27	20	0	20	13.6	14.0	-0.37	14.5	14.6	-0.04
Terry Rozier	57	57	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	4	12	14.2	13.4	0.74	14.6	14.5	0.12
Marcus Smart	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	3	14	14.8	12.9	1.93	13.5	15.5	-2.01
Gordon Hayward	48	52	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.29	18	2	16	13.0	14.6	-1.57	16.1	12.9	3.12
Jayson Tatum	63	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	14	-8	14.7	12.4	2.35	13.1	16.5	-3.39
Al Horford	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	17	-14	13.5	14.1	-0.61	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Robert Williams III	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	15.5	13.6	1.91	16.1	14.3	1.87
Brad Wanamaker	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	29	-38	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.6	14.5	0.06
Guerschon Yabusele	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	29	-38	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.6	14.5	0.06
Semi Ojeleye	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	29	-38	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.6	14.5	0.06

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Leuer	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	16.2	14.3	1.85	12.9	14.0	-1.04
Henry Ellenson	14	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-23	26	15.6	14.4	1.28	15.5	13.6	1.91
Glenn Robinson III	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-25	30	15.2	14.4	0.76	15.0	13.6	1.42
Bruce Brown	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-25	30	13.5	14.9	-1.38	15.7	13.3	2.40
Jose Calderon	21	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.28	8	-28	36	14.2	14.6	-0.39	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Zaza Pachulia	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-14	8	10.4	16.3	-5.90	13.9	13.8	0.04
Stanley Johnson	58	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-13	6	13.8	15.5	-1.72	14.4	13.0	1.43
Langston Galloway	38	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.24	-18	-2	-16	13.1	15.4	-2.31	13.9	13.8	0.09
Andre Drummond	58	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-3	-14	16.3	12.1	4.19	14.0	13.6	0.45
Reggie Bullock	57	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-6	-8	14.9	14.1	0.80	12.7	15.2	-2.53
Ish Smith	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.36	-24	4	-28	14.1	15.0	-0.92	14.2	13.4	0.76
Blake Griffin	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-7	-6	14.4	14.8	-0.39	13.2	14.9	-1.62
Reggie Jackson	55	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.31	-25	5	-30	16.6	12.1	4.55	13.5	14.2	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 129, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
NYK 107, PHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DET 92, NOK 68	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%