NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	129		Excitement	2.2 [1274]		MVP	Bryn Forbes (SAS): +12.9%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	1.2 [880]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -7.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	8	106%	0.15	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	9	100%	0.11	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	3	150%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	75%	0.04	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	9	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	0.02	0.12	9	74%	0.05	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	87%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	10	77%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	11	32%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	42%	-0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	7	35%	-0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	15	40%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.04	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.7	25.9	14.5	27.0	1.7	23.6	116.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.0%

SAS +1.3%

ORL -3.0%

SAS +6.0%

SAS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ORL	NBA	SAS	ORL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.5	14.3	137.2	95.7	109.3
season	14.8	14.9		111.7	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.4		107.2	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.3	14.7	14.3	14.4	14.2
ORL	16.7	17.3	15.7	16.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	66	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.38	29	10	19	14.6	13.1	1.55	17.0	15.5	1.49
Rudy Gay	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.23	18	21	-3	14.2	14.1	0.16	17.0	16.0	1.04
Bryn Forbes	49	49	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.15	15	24	-9	14.2	14.2	0.01	16.9	16.0	0.83
LaMarcus Aldridge	50	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	21	-3	14.6	13.7	0.86	16.9	15.9	1.01
DeMar DeRozan	59	60	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	21	-3	13.9	14.6	-0.70	16.4	16.6	-0.13
Marco Belinelli	36	36	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.17	14	25	-11	14.1	14.2	-0.12	15.9	16.8	-0.87
Patty Mills	33	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.36	20	19	1	13.1	14.7	-1.65	16.2	16.7	-0.49
Jakob Poeltl	44	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.40	21	18	3	13.7	14.6	-0.86	15.9	16.9	-1.01
Davis Bertans	29	30	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.23	15	24	-9	13.6	14.4	-0.88	16.9	16.3	0.62
Dante Cunningham	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.35	12	27	-15	14.4	14.1	0.35	16.3	16.5	-0.29
Drew Eubanks	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	33	-27	14.8	14.0	0.88	14.5	17.0	-2.45
Quincy Pondexter	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	30	-21	15.3	13.9	1.32	15.7	16.6	-0.97

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-30	21	15.4	16.6	-1.22	14.5	14.1	0.35
Isaiah Briscoe	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-30	21	15.4	16.6	-1.22	14.5	14.1	0.35
Wes Iwundu	32	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-29	19	15.1	17.2	-2.15	14.3	14.1	0.27
Jerian Grant	48	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.46	-19	-20	1	15.2	17.8	-2.60	14.4	13.9	0.53
Khem Birch	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.22	-15	-24	9	15.7	17.0	-1.33	14.6	13.9	0.66
Evan Fournier	48	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.17	-15	-24	9	16.6	16.4	0.21	14.3	14.0	0.31
Mo Bamba	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.40	-23	-16	-7	17.2	15.6	1.58	13.3	15.2	-1.92
Jonathon Simmons	33	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.24	-18	-21	3	15.8	16.9	-1.11	14.0	14.2	-0.19
Jonathan Isaac	48	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-21	3	16.7	16.2	0.47	14.6	13.7	0.87
Terrence Ross	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.29	-20	-19	-1	16.8	16.2	0.64	13.8	14.4	-0.63
Aaron Gordon	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	-20	1	17.4	14.8	2.65	14.3	13.9	0.34
D.J. Augustin	46	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	-19	-1	17.8	15.2	2.60	13.9	14.4	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
BOS 109, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
IND 115, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%