NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	120		Excitement	1.9 [1287]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): +12.9%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	1.2 [1068]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): -6.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.22	0.00	0.10	12	86%	0.13	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.00	-0.05	6	56%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.13	-0.00	0.11	13	80%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chimezie Metu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	47%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	44%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	9	73%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	54%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	7	21%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.08	16	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	40%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	40%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	12	29%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.03	13	48%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	28.5	15.3	28.4	2.5	25.7	127.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.7%

SAS +1.5%

SAS +6.1%

SAS +3.6%

SAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	14.3	116.5	88.2	109.3
season	14.8	14.4		111.7	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.4		114.0	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.0	12.9	13.1	16.7	14.4
PHX	15.6	15.4	12.6	11.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	36	33	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.12	17	13	4	14.1	14.6	-0.54	13.0	14.0	-0.97
DeMar DeRozan	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.39	24	6	18	14.3	14.6	-0.32	15.5	11.4	4.05
Davis Bertans	52	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	11	8	14.1	14.7	-0.59	12.5	14.8	-2.37
Marco Belinelli	51	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	18	-6	14.1	14.7	-0.61	13.2	14.2	-1.05
Patty Mills	46	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	25	-20	13.0	15.6	-2.58	13.1	14.2	-1.04
Quincy Pondexter	43	42	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	28	-26	14.6	14.2	0.38	12.0	14.9	-2.91
Rudy Gay	48	48	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.45	24	6	18	13.6	15.1	-1.50	15.2	12.3	2.91
Bryn Forbes	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.50	25	5	20	15.5	13.6	1.88	15.3	12.5	2.79
LaMarcus Aldridge	50	52	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.21	11	19	-8	14.0	14.8	-0.71	14.5	12.8	1.66
Dante Cunningham	56	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	27	-24	15.6	13.0	2.67	13.0	14.5	-1.50
Chimezie Metu	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	24	-18	15.7	14.2	1.51	12.1	13.9	-1.87
Jakob Poeltl	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	28	-26	16.2	14.0	2.19	12.5	13.9	-1.46

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dragan Bender	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-28	26	9.2	14.1	-4.90	16.0	14.3	1.74
Troy Daniels	25	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-28	26	11.4	14.4	-3.03	16.7	13.6	3.11
Tyson Chandler	23	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.08	-6	-24	18	10.9	14.5	-3.64	13.0	14.8	-1.85
Richaun Holmes	8	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	-25	20	18.0	13.3	4.68	13.7	14.5	-0.71
T.J. Warren	74	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.27	-15	-15	0	14.0	12.8	1.24	14.7	13.7	1.00
Elie Okobo	59	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.19	-12	-18	6	13.6	13.9	-0.30	15.6	12.8	2.85
Jamal Crawford	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-19	8	12.7	14.0	-1.22	12.1	15.1	-3.03
Josh Jackson	43	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	-13	-4	15.1	12.6	2.51	14.4	14.4	0.06
Mikal Bridges	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-17	4	12.6	15.1	-2.51	14.4	14.4	-0.06
Trevor Ariza	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-14	-2	14.5	12.5	1.95	14.7	14.0	0.63
Deandre Ayton	62	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	-13	-4	14.8	11.9	2.90	14.8	13.8	0.95
Ryan Anderson	18	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	-14	-2	14.6	13.5	1.12	12.2	14.9	-2.72
De'Anthony Melton	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	-12	-6	13.6	13.7	-0.09	12.8	15.6	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, DAL 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
WAS 106, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
DAL 105, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%