NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	106		Excitement	2.3 [1268]		MVP	Nick Young (WAS): +7.5%
Boston Celtics	96		Comeback	1.3 [158]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -7.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.01	-0.06	15	50%	0.08	2	-0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	13	71%	0.08	4	-0.01	9	78%	-0.01
James Singleton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	23	57%	0.04	5	-0.06	8	75%	0.00
Al Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	9	54%	-0.03	3	-0.00	8	75%	-0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	73%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	13	53%	0.01	4	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	9	72%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.10	7	59%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	12	31%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	29.0	15.8	25.7	1.8	45.3	144.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.8%

WAS +2.7%

WAS +7.0%

WAS +4.4%

WAS +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	15.3	109.3	99.0	106.0
season	15.7	15.5		102.6	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.3		102.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	20.5	18.3	12.9	16.2
BOS	15.9	14.4	15.1	10.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	88	87	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-5	20	15.8	20.3	-4.55	13.7	11.2	2.55
Shaun Livingston	84	83	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	16.1	16.8	-0.65	13.6	12.9	0.73
Nick Young	82	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	8	-6	16.2	16.3	-0.07	13.5	13.4	0.13
Al Thornton	33	34	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	18.3	15.1	3.18	13.8	13.3	0.52
JaVale McGee	45	43	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.44	-4	14	-18	15.5	16.8	-1.38	12.3	14.4	-2.17
Mike Miller	79	79	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	3	4	15.3	20.0	-4.66	13.3	14.2	-0.91
James Singleton	26	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	6	-2	19.2	15.1	4.08	13.2	13.6	-0.43
Earl Boykins	13	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	9	-8	16.8	16.1	0.65	12.9	13.6	-0.73
Fabricio Oberto	32	32	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	5	0	17.5	15.6	1.88	15.1	12.7	2.45
Quinton Ross	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	10	-10	0.3	16.7	-16.38	9.7	13.6	-3.90

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	33	34	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.49	17	-27	44	10.7	14.9	-4.18	14.8	17.0	-2.13
Marquis Daniels	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	8.3	14.3	-5.98	7.7	17.5	-9.83
Nate Robinson	19	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-11	12	10.4	14.2	-3.88	12.3	17.2	-4.92
Kevin Garnett	48	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.12	-8	-2	-6	14.8	12.2	2.63	17.4	15.0	2.41
Ray Allen	65	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-13	16	14.4	11.5	2.91	17.7	13.5	4.17
Kendrick Perkins	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-1	-8	16.1	11.6	4.54	18.4	14.6	3.82
Tony Allen	25	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	10.6	14.5	-3.94	13.0	17.4	-4.43
Paul Pierce	58	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	5	-20	14.9	11.3	3.64	17.0	15.0	2.06
Rasheed Wallace	40	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-5	0	12.8	13.9	-1.12	17.4	15.3	2.12
Rajon Rondo	78	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	14.1	10.9	3.16	17.1	12.6	4.48
Glen Davis	27	28	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	4	-18	12.3	13.9	-1.60	12.4	17.7	-5.31
Michael Finley	39	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.10	-10	0	-10	13.0	13.8	-0.77	16.6	15.9	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 120, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
DAL 105, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
ATL 109, DAL 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%