NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	2.0 [1232]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +10.7%
Dallas Mavericks	73		Comeback	1.3 [519]		LVP	Samaki Walker (DAL): -7.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.24	-0.00	0.13	15	90%	0.11	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	4	130%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Burton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.15	0.00	0.11	7	94%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Donnie Boyce	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	-0.10	9	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	14	50%	-0.01	5	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Dreiling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	0.08	15	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	80%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Dumas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.00	-0.11	4	20%	-0.01	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	17	44%	-0.03	2	-0.00	5	60%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Loren Meyer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	14	39%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	25.3	16.2	20.5	1.8	26.2	118.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.2%

ATL +5.6%

DAL -2.9%

ATL +6.7%

DAL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DAL	NBA	ATL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.6	119.8	82.0	104.4
season	16.4	15.9		105.3	99.1
opponent	15.7	16.0		105.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.4	13.3	14.3	17.9	15.6
DAL	17.8	16.2	17.0	14.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	63	61	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.52	33	3	30	15.3	16.2	-0.93	17.1	14.9	2.15
Willie Burton	41	41	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	16	4	16.2	15.1	1.08	15.9	16.9	-0.98
Christian Laettner	66	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.39	26	10	16	15.6	15.7	-0.10	16.8	15.3	1.52
Steven Smith	57	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.39	25	11	14	15.8	15.3	0.50	16.9	15.6	1.32
Eldridge Recasner	30	30	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	21	-6	14.4	16.2	-1.80	15.8	16.7	-0.86
Mookie Blaylock	61	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.50	28	8	20	15.3	16.2	-0.89	17.8	13.7	4.13
Ivano Newbill	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.20	13	23	-10	15.6	15.6	-0.07	15.6	17.0	-1.35
Tyrone Corbin	50	48	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.35	16	20	-4	15.1	16.2	-1.08	16.9	15.9	0.98
Jon Barry	24	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	35	-34	17.4	15.0	2.46	14.2	17.2	-2.95
Priest Lauderdale	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	36	-36	17.1	15.3	1.82	13.6	16.9	-3.28
Donnie Boyce	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	33	-30	15.6	15.6	-0.00	11.9	16.9	-5.02

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Dreiling	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-33	30	11.9	16.9	-5.02	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Loren Meyer	21	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.22	-10	-26	16	13.0	17.5	-4.52	15.0	15.8	-0.75
Chris Gatling	4	4	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-30	24	20.7	16.2	4.55	16.2	15.6	0.68
Eric Montross	43	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.32	-17	-19	2	17.3	15.5	1.78	15.8	15.4	0.37
Samaki Walker	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-30	24	18.2	15.2	3.01	16.8	14.8	1.99
Tony Dumas	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.41	-23	-13	-10	16.7	15.9	0.79	15.1	16.4	-1.29
Jamal Mashburn	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.42	-24	-12	-12	16.2	16.8	-0.53	15.1	16.5	-1.38
Oliver Miller	37	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	-20	4	16.4	16.4	0.05	15.4	15.8	-0.38
George McCloud	65	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.46	-27	-9	-18	16.5	16.2	0.33	16.0	14.6	1.39
Jason Kidd	40	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.21	-19	-17	-2	16.4	16.4	0.08	15.5	15.7	-0.24
Jim Jackson	74	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.46	-29	-7	-22	16.1	17.9	-1.84	15.7	15.3	0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 120, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
DAL 105, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CHI 113, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%