inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 86 Excitement4.2 [941] MVPJalen Rose (IND): +5.7%
Golden State Warriors 71 Comeback1.4 [488] LVPChris Mullin (GSW): -14.4%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Rose0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.05-0.00-0.01773%0.091-0.0310%0.00
Vincent Askew0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00669%0.0500.004100%0.01
Duane Ferrell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.020.01-0.041050%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Fred Hoiberg-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00948%-0.0100.00560%-0.02
Jerome Allen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Travis Best-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.10-0.01-0.061333%-0.022-0.031100%0.00
Reggie Miller-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001355%0.054-0.103100%0.01
Erick Dampier-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.12-0.01-0.06333%-0.005-0.0600%0.00
Derrick McKey-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.03714%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dale Davis-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.061240%-0.033-0.05633%-0.05

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donald Royal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.02375%0.051-0.012100%0.01
Lou Roe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Todd Fuller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray Owes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01350%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
B.J. Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.09-0.00-0.07936%-0.022-0.004100%0.02
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011154%0.022-0.05683%0.00
Felton Spencer0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.00260%-0.022-0.06633%-0.05
Latrell Sprewell0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.11-0.02-0.051340%-0.033-0.05450%-0.02
Mark Price0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.01817%-0.121-0.03250%-0.01
Chris Mullin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.011032%-0.093-0.05580%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.827.115.827.21.727.4126.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +34.3%
IND +2.1%
IND +14.7%
IND +0.2%
GSW -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDGSWNBAINDGSWNBA
this game15.615.715.694.576.3104.4
season15.315.0103.6104.4
opponent15.416.3109.1101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.918.014.214.915.6
GSW14.817.115.215.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick McKey54550.480.030.45-0.1120-52515.216.3-1.0915.715.7-0.00
Reggie Miller66660.460.050.410.021501515.915.00.9516.014.81.24
Travis Best47500.360.150.22-0.051411315.515.8-0.3717.113.93.21
Duane Ferrell55570.340.170.170.0796315.715.60.0615.815.50.25
Antonio Davis50480.320.180.140.03105516.614.52.0215.715.60.02
Dale Davis52520.190.32-0.130.04510-515.915.40.5115.815.50.34
Vincent Askew43450.180.33-0.150.12213-1116.115.20.8415.615.7-0.07
Jerome Allen25230.170.34-0.170.08312-915.315.8-0.4513.816.3-2.49
Jalen Rose26290.040.47-0.43-0.05312-914.716.0-1.3913.616.6-2.96
Fred Hoiberg660.000.51-0.510.03-116-179.716.1-6.4011.815.9-4.09
Erick Dampier3134-0.000.51-0.510.14-520-2515.915.50.3916.115.40.68

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lou Roe660.00-0.510.51-0.031-161711.815.9-4.099.716.1-6.40
Todd Fuller1111-0.00-0.510.50-0.031-161713.516.0-2.5015.115.7-0.63
Donyell Marshall1615-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-151516.515.51.0214.715.8-1.10
Ray Owes1616-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-151515.815.60.1912.716.3-3.59
Felton Spencer4847-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-12916.315.01.3615.915.40.46
B.J. Armstrong5048-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-161715.915.30.6115.715.50.22
Donald Royal2625-0.17-0.340.170.01-6-9316.915.21.7116.415.40.98
Latrell Sprewell7676-0.37-0.14-0.23-0.10-9-6-315.815.10.6616.113.62.45
Andrew DeClercq3230-0.39-0.12-0.27-0.01-13-2-1116.815.11.7216.715.11.62
Mark Price4142-0.42-0.08-0.340.04-161-1715.116.1-0.9515.016.2-1.25
Chris Mullin7067-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.05-14-1-1315.217.0-1.8416.114.41.73
Joe Smith7372-0.540.03-0.57-0.04-172-1915.117.5-2.4115.715.40.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 105, UTA 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
ORL 105, BKN 820.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
IND 125, MIL 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%