NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	105		Excitement	4.5 [917]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +15.0%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.3 [221]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -14.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.18	0.03	0.06	17	72%	0.21	3	-0.06	13	62%	-0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	17	58%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Sean Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	6	37%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.04	7	73%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	14	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Almond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	13	31%	-0.07	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	7	50%	0.00	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	2.4	33.5	15.7	26.2	1.0	26.0	133.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +41.7%

UTA -2.7%

NJN +2.6%

NJN +8.2%

NJN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.5	110.5	92.6	106.4
season	16.0	15.3		106.5	107.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		105.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.0	16.7	13.4	19.0	15.3
UTA	15.2	13.9	16.1	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	-4	25	13.6	19.2	-5.63	15.5	13.8	1.66
Yi Jianlian	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	6	5	14.1	17.4	-3.28	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Devin Harris	74	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	4	9	14.4	18.8	-4.38	15.1	14.5	0.55
Jarvis Hayes	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	4	9	16.4	14.2	2.22	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Stromile Swift	18	19	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	6	5	16.4	15.1	1.28	13.9	15.2	-1.34
Keyon Dooling	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	9	-1	17.4	14.3	3.06	14.9	15.0	-0.14
Brook Lopez	54	54	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	13	-9	15.9	14.6	1.25	15.6	14.1	1.45
Bobby Simmons	58	59	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	15	-13	16.0	14.4	1.59	15.2	14.6	0.66
Ryan Anderson	37	37	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	11	-5	17.4	14.1	3.28	15.2	14.8	0.36
Sean Williams	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	15	-13	13.3	16.0	-2.75	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Trenton Hassell	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	21.0	15.2	5.84	10.7	15.2	-4.40
Maurice Ager	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	21.0	15.2	5.84	10.7	15.2	-4.40

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	17	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-18	19	14.6	15.0	-0.39	20.2	14.3	5.95
Kyrylo Fesenko	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	10.7	15.5	-4.77	19.2	14.9	4.28
Morris Almond	16	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-15	13	13.2	15.3	-2.07	18.5	14.8	3.70
Kosta Koufos	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.12	-1	-16	15	13.7	15.4	-1.75	18.2	14.3	3.87
Ronnie Price	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-9	1	14.1	15.4	-1.30	19.0	13.4	5.64
Deron Williams	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-8	-1	15.4	14.1	1.30	13.4	19.0	-5.64
Kyle Korver	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	-6	-5	14.9	15.1	-0.19	16.4	14.3	2.13
Ronnie Brewer	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-7	-3	15.2	14.6	0.56	15.5	15.0	0.48
CJ Miles	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-6	-5	15.3	14.3	0.98	13.8	19.0	-5.21
Paul Millsap	69	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-3	-11	15.5	13.6	1.92	13.2	21.3	-8.05
Mehmet Okur	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	3	-23	15.6	13.3	2.34	14.8	16.9	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
IND 86, GSW 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DAL 94, LAL 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%