NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	127		Excitement	1.7 [1247]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +13.9%
Vancouver Grizzlies	80		Comeback	1.2 [525]		LVP	Lawrence Moten (VAN): -6.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.29	0.00	0.15	16	92%	0.16	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	9	68%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Vincent Askew	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	4	112%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.01	3	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Jerome Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Duane Ferrell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	8	61%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.00	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	16	63%	0.05	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Richard Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	14	50%	-0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.16	-0.00	-0.10	13	23%	-0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	30.6	15.3	24.4	1.7	23.0	121.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.3%

IND +4.0%

IND +7.0%

IND +3.5%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	VAN	NBA	IND	VAN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	15.6	133.7	85.1	104.4
season	15.3	16.3		103.6	97.9
opponent	15.5	16.3		109.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.6	13.3	16.9	15.5	14.8
VAN	19.7	12.9	15.1	15.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	49	48	0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.52	33	14	19	15.0	14.5	0.42	17.5	13.9	3.55
Derrick McKey	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.65	37	10	27	14.4	15.2	-0.82	18.2	13.2	5.04
Antonio Davis	49	48	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.52	32	15	17	13.6	16.0	-2.49	14.8	16.7	-1.95
Reggie Miller	51	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.57	33	14	19	14.0	15.7	-1.72	17.0	14.1	2.86
Travis Best	40	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.36	23	24	-1	15.6	14.2	1.41	17.7	14.4	3.38
Vincent Askew	21	21	0.18	0.33	-0.15	0.00	6	41	-35	13.4	15.1	-1.77	12.7	16.6	-3.87
Jalen Rose	48	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.49	21	26	-5	14.2	15.3	-1.15	13.8	17.9	-4.11
Jerome Allen	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.45	18	29	-11	15.0	14.6	0.37	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Duane Ferrell	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	53	-59	16.3	13.7	2.55	12.4	17.9	-5.47
Eddie Johnson	33	33	0.07	0.44	-0.37	-0.26	11	36	-25	15.2	14.5	0.70	15.2	16.0	-0.74
Fred Hoiberg	15	15	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.35	12	35	-23	13.5	15.0	-1.53	16.1	15.6	0.49
Erick Dampier	50	49	-0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.44	15	32	-17	16.2	13.2	3.00	16.0	15.4	0.54

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	15	15	0.00	-0.51	0.51	0.35	-12	-35	23	16.1	15.6	0.49	13.5	15.0	-1.53
Eric Mobley	31	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.37	-18	-29	11	17.3	14.9	2.39	16.2	14.0	2.16
Richard Manning	29	29	-0.19	-0.32	0.13	0.57	-26	-21	-5	13.6	16.7	-3.09	11.7	16.1	-4.47
Chris Robinson	50	51	-0.20	-0.31	0.11	0.33	-18	-29	11	14.9	16.7	-1.76	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Anthony Peeler	54	54	-0.21	-0.30	0.09	0.32	-18	-29	11	15.1	16.5	-1.35	14.9	14.5	0.43
Roy Rogers	46	46	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	-35	23	15.2	16.2	-0.99	14.8	14.7	0.09
Lawrence Moten	57	59	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	0.76	-36	-11	-25	16.4	14.8	1.59	14.7	14.9	-0.17
George Lynch	43	43	-0.31	-0.20	-0.11	0.43	-25	-22	-3	17.7	14.1	3.55	15.3	14.3	1.08
Lee Mayberry	69	69	-0.43	-0.08	-0.35	0.66	-37	-10	-27	15.4	16.6	-1.14	14.9	14.5	0.41
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	77	-0.49	-0.02	-0.47	0.48	-33	-14	-19	15.8	15.5	0.28	15.2	13.0	2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 111, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
LAL 115, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%