NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	2.1 [1225]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +9.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	90		Comeback	1.1 [743]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): -6.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.00	0.05	9	90%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	19	56%	0.05	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Sedale Threatt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	83%	0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	9	44%	0.00	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	60%	-0.01	4	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	11	40%	-0.00	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	16	49%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	69%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Larry Krystkowiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	12	61%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	14	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	28.5	16.8	26.4	2.4	23.5	123.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +39.2%

LAL -0.1%

HOU +9.8%

HOU +0.9%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.6	123.3	100.0	104.4
season	15.5	15.3		107.2	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	17.2	18.1	15.8	16.5
LAL	15.4	17.9	14.6	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.23	25	-4	29	16.4	17.0	-0.69	15.9	14.0	1.93
Mario Elie	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	5	11	16.9	15.9	1.03	15.8	15.0	0.83
Matt Maloney	45	47	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.07	13	8	5	16.4	16.6	-0.16	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Eddie Johnson	48	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.27	19	2	17	17.3	15.6	1.65	15.9	15.1	0.80
Othella Harrington	53	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.18	16	5	11	16.9	15.9	0.98	16.1	14.6	1.56
Kevin Willis	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	21	-21	16.8	16.0	0.81	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Matt Bullard	35	36	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	17	-13	15.2	17.4	-2.21	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Randy Livingston	45	43	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	13	-5	16.6	16.4	0.16	15.8	15.1	0.69
Sam Mack	34	35	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	16	-11	15.9	16.9	-1.03	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Sedale Threatt	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	14.8	16.7	-1.94	12.5	15.9	-3.34

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Krystkowiak	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	12.7	16.1	-3.39	16.2	16.6	-0.41
Byron Scott	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-19	17	17.8	15.3	2.52	19.3	16.3	3.01
Derek Fisher	25	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-17	13	15.7	15.4	0.28	16.9	16.4	0.54
Sean Rooks	15	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-18	15	12.1	16.2	-4.09	17.7	16.3	1.42
George McCloud	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-16	11	15.7	15.4	0.33	16.4	16.6	-0.21
Kobe Bryant	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.28	-16	-5	-11	14.5	16.1	-1.62	17.1	16.2	0.89
Jerome Kersey	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-18	15	15.2	15.7	-0.49	16.2	16.9	-0.69
Corie Blount	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.14	-13	-8	-5	17.1	14.4	2.63	16.7	16.4	0.38
Travis Knight	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-12	3	15.2	15.7	-0.55	16.4	16.6	-0.13
Elden Campbell	75	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	-3	-15	16.2	12.1	4.09	16.3	17.7	-1.42
Eddie Jones	67	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	-5	-11	15.8	14.4	1.40	16.3	17.2	-0.93
Nick Van Exel	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-4	-13	15.4	15.7	-0.28	16.4	16.9	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 127, VAN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
SAS 100, CHI 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
CHI 108, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%