NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	2.3 [1280]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +11.5%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.0 [502]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -9.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.00	0.06	18	82%	0.16	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	7	67%	0.06	2	-0.01	4	0%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	90%	0.05	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.01	2	-0.01	8	62%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.07	7	69%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	3	100%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	41%	0.00	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	0.06	7	86%	-0.00	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	17	34%	-0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	6	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.06	-0.00	0.16	32	53%	-0.07	3	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	3.5	28.3	17.8	26.3	3.4	43.5	150.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.0%

CHI +6.6%

NYK -2.9%

NYK -2.6%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	15.4	116.1	108.6	104.1
season	16.6	16.2		101.7	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.2		103.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	16.2	17.8	15.2	15.8
NYK	17.3	15.1	14.9	13.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	84	84	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	3	1	15.1	21.8	-6.67	15.3	14.2	1.10
Joakim Noah	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	3	1	15.5	16.2	-0.69	16.2	13.8	2.41
Carlos Boozer	67	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	2	3	15.7	15.8	-0.02	15.3	14.9	0.40
Kirk Hinrich	75	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	5	-3	15.1	18.3	-3.20	14.7	17.3	-2.56
Marco Belinelli	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.28	-1	8	-9	15.5	16.2	-0.67	13.6	17.9	-4.28
Richard Hamilton	35	35	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-1	9	16.2	15.5	0.67	17.9	13.6	4.28
Taj Gibson	45	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	1	5	15.9	15.6	0.22	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Nate Robinson	18	18	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	2	3	18.3	15.1	3.20	17.3	14.7	2.56
Jimmy Butler	23	22	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	8	-9	17.3	15.2	2.12	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Nazr Mohammed	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	4	-1	20.5	15.4	5.07	14.7	15.3	-0.59

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Copeland	11	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	13.1	15.5	-2.41	15.9	15.7	0.18
Steve Novak	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.64	19	-26	45	12.5	16.9	-4.38	16.1	15.5	0.63
James White	34	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	14.0	15.9	-1.92	16.6	15.3	1.28
Kurt Thomas	17	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	3	-13	16.9	14.8	2.04	17.0	15.5	1.53
Amar'e Stoudemire	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	4	-15	17.1	14.2	2.95	16.1	15.6	0.48
Pablo Prigioni	58	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-12	17	14.2	16.9	-2.63	16.7	13.9	2.81
Jason Kidd	39	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.24	-21	14	-35	17.2	13.8	3.43	13.8	17.1	-3.36
Carmelo Anthony	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-5	3	15.1	18.7	-3.69	15.7	16.2	-0.47
Tyson Chandler	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.3	14.9	0.41	15.2	18.2	-3.06
J.R. Smith	73	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	0	-7	16.0	12.3	3.65	15.6	16.4	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 123, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
HOU 111, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
SAS 124, VAN 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%