NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	115		Excitement	1.9 [1303]		MVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): +12.0%
Dallas Mavericks	89		Comeback	1.0 [873]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): -8.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	10	95%	0.14	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.06	11	73%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	7	59%	0.06	2	-0.01	8	62%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	69%	0.05	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Johnson-Odom	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Devin Ebanks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	9	37%	0.03	4	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	63%	0.04	6	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	11	48%	-0.02	2	-0.02	9	56%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	12	56%	0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	1	33%	0.02	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	10	73%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	-0.10	12	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.04	8	59%	-0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.21	0.00	-0.16	10	10%	-0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	15	39%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	25.6	16.0	31.2	1.7	30.2	133.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.5%

LAL +3.3%

LAL +8.5%

LAL +1.4%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.4	13.7	15.4	108.5	84.0	104.1
season	14.9	14.5		106.0	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	13.1	13.8	13.4	13.4
DAL	16.0	13.1	13.4	12.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	72	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.23	25	1	24	13.1	14.1	-0.92	14.2	12.7	1.50
Metta World Peace	67	69	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.61	34	-8	42	13.5	13.4	0.08	13.9	13.5	0.38
Dwight Howard	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.48	29	-3	32	13.5	13.4	0.10	14.4	12.5	1.97
Pau Gasol	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	12	2	13.4	13.5	-0.15	14.5	12.7	1.76
Darius Morris	54	55	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.45	24	2	22	12.8	14.1	-1.30	14.0	13.4	0.62
Antawn Jamison	64	64	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.19	15	11	4	14.0	12.6	1.31	13.7	13.8	-0.04
Jordan Hill	24	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	18	-10	12.3	13.8	-1.48	13.3	13.9	-0.52
Jodie Meeks	45	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	23	-20	14.4	12.7	1.64	13.1	14.2	-1.02
Chris Duhon	35	34	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	29	-32	15.1	12.6	2.42	13.7	13.7	-0.00
Darius Johnson-Odom	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	11.9	13.6	-1.69	9.6	14.0	-4.46
Earl Clark	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	33	-40	12.3	13.6	-1.30	10.2	14.1	-3.90
Devin Ebanks	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	31	-36	12.3	13.6	-1.28	11.9	14.0	-2.05
Robert Sacre	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	12.0	13.5	-1.54	9.6	14.0	-4.46

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard James	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-36	46	12.3	14.5	-2.16	12.8	13.8	-0.99
Dahntay Jones	23	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-31	36	12.1	14.2	-2.05	13.5	13.4	0.06
Rodrigue Beaubois	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-27	28	12.5	14.6	-2.06	12.5	14.0	-1.51
Vince Carter	39	37	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.15	0	-26	26	12.4	14.5	-2.10	14.5	12.9	1.58
Brandan Wright	31	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-15	4	14.4	13.5	0.92	11.8	14.1	-2.25
Dominique Jones	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-20	14	15.2	13.3	1.89	14.8	13.1	1.69
Jae Crowder	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-26	26	12.3	14.9	-2.56	12.8	13.9	-1.14
Troy Murphy	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.30	-18	-8	-10	14.8	13.3	1.46	14.4	13.1	1.35
Darren Collison	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.30	-18	-8	-10	14.3	13.2	1.04	13.8	13.1	0.70
Elton Brand	40	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.26	-17	-9	-8	14.9	13.0	1.83	12.7	13.9	-1.17
Chris Kaman	47	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-7	-12	14.3	13.3	1.01	14.7	12.4	2.27
Shawn Marion	61	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.48	-27	1	-28	14.2	13.1	1.12	13.1	13.9	-0.75
O.J. Mayo	60	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.52	-30	4	-34	14.5	12.7	1.76	13.7	13.1	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 82, CHI 49	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
IND 127, VAN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%