NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	5.3 [751]		MVP	Chris Morris (UTA): +14.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	1.1 [606]		LVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): -18.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Morris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	6	86%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.02	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	0.00	27	48%	0.04	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
John Stockton	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.03	0.07	8	71%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	19	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.06	0.03	19	58%	-0.02	6	-0.15	12	58%	-0.08
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	8	25%	-0.11	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	23.0	15.8	25.2	1.7	33.4	125.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.8%

UTA +3.7%

SEA -3.9%

UTA +8.9%

SEA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	17.2	15.5	15.6	107.9	103.4	104.4
season	15.6	14.9		110.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	16.0		100.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.2	16.4	17.2	16.1	17.2
SEA	15.0	14.9	14.8	17.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	46	43	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-4	14	15.8	18.7	-2.89	16.3	14.7	1.58
Antoine Carr	54	52	0.52	-0.01	0.53	0.28	8	-2	10	16.9	17.7	-0.89	16.5	14.1	2.38
John Stockton	70	70	0.50	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	0	6	16.6	19.3	-2.69	15.3	16.5	-1.20
Chris Morris	32	32	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.19	9	-3	12	17.1	17.3	-0.17	17.7	14.2	3.45
Adam Keefe	17	17	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-5	16	15.8	17.5	-1.70	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Karl Malone	80	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.41	-4	10	-14	17.7	13.1	4.55	15.3	16.9	-1.58
Bryon Russell	53	51	0.03	0.48	-0.45	0.15	-4	10	-14	17.0	17.5	-0.50	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Howard Eisley	19	17	0.01	0.50	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	19.3	16.6	2.69	16.5	15.3	1.20
Greg Ostertag	35	35	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	0.05	-2	8	-10	17.7	16.9	0.89	14.1	16.5	-2.38
Jeff Hornacek	37	38	-0.03	0.54	-0.57	0.03	-2	8	-10	19.0	15.9	3.08	14.8	16.0	-1.18
Greg Foster	2	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	16.5	17.2	-0.72	20.0	15.3	4.65

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-7	8	14.0	16.2	-2.17	17.7	17.0	0.72
Eric Snow	13	15	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	1	-8	16.0	15.4	0.58	15.9	17.5	-1.53
Craig Ehlo	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	0	-6	17.3	14.5	2.82	17.9	16.8	1.15
Shawn Kemp	74	76	-0.27	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-9	12	14.9	19.1	-4.20	17.6	15.0	2.58
Larry Stewart	11	12	-0.30	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	0	-6	21.8	14.6	7.23	16.2	17.4	-1.20
Detlef Schrempf	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.24	-3	-3	0	15.1	17.4	-2.29	17.3	16.9	0.32
Hersey Hawkins	65	66	-0.40	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	14.7	18.0	-3.28	16.9	18.0	-1.02
Gary Payton	86	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	15.5	15.0	0.51	17.4	9.0	8.39
Sam Perkins	56	59	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	1	-8	16.2	14.3	1.94	16.6	18.5	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, MEM 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
DAL 113, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%
HOU 109, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%