NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	6.0 [586]		MVP	Doug Overton (PHI): +11.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	100		Comeback	1.0 [1037]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -25.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wilkins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	17	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Amal McCaskill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	18	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	12	43%	0.02	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Darrell Armstrong	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	14	41%	-0.04	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	11	41%	-0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	4	90%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rex Walters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	1	133%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	14	63%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Don MacLean	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Bradtke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	15	47%	0.06	7	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	20	35%	-0.13	5	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.4	23.2	15.4	23.5	2.3	32.7	120.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.7%

ORL -5.3%

PHI +7.0%

PHI +3.6%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	13.7	15.6	93.8	104.2	104.4
season	16.4	14.7		102.9	101.4
opponent	14.7	15.5		108.4	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.5	17.5	13.1	17.6	16.1
PHI	10.1	15.2	15.7	14.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vaughn	29	31	0.16	-0.67	0.83	-0.13	10	-19	29	14.9	16.6	-1.70	16.5	12.4	4.15
Amal McCaskill	15	15	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-10	11	19.1	15.6	3.48	16.7	13.1	3.59
Gerald Wilkins	56	57	-0.18	-0.33	0.15	-0.30	4	-13	17	14.7	18.0	-3.29	15.2	11.6	3.61
Darrell Armstrong	51	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-9	9	17.1	15.1	1.97	14.7	12.7	2.03
Derek Strong	42	41	-0.21	-0.30	0.09	0.03	-8	-1	-7	16.4	15.9	0.41	12.4	14.7	-2.26
Brian Shaw	61	61	-0.43	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	16.0	16.4	-0.42	13.2	14.6	-1.36
Nick Anderson	76	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	3	-15	15.9	16.8	-0.88	12.2	18.9	-6.69
Horace Grant	84	84	-0.53	0.02	-0.56	-0.21	-11	2	-13	16.0	16.6	-0.57	13.4	15.8	-2.43
Rony Seikaly	71	67	-0.70	0.19	-0.89	-0.08	-21	12	-33	16.7	14.5	2.17	13.1	15.2	-2.10

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	88	90	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	1	7	13.4	17.5	-4.14	15.9	19.6	-3.72
Derrick Coleman	75	77	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-1	11	13.1	16.0	-2.93	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Allen Iverson	64	64	0.35	0.16	0.19	0.06	10	-1	11	13.3	14.6	-1.28	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Don MacLean	29	30	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.29	2	7	-5	15.5	12.9	2.54	17.7	15.4	2.28
Clar. Weatherspoon	70	70	0.29	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	14.2	12.3	1.87	15.6	17.4	-1.78
Michael Cage	28	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	4	1	14.3	13.5	0.82	18.5	15.1	3.39
Scott Williams	51	52	0.21	0.30	-0.10	0.03	6	3	3	14.0	13.4	0.62	15.1	17.3	-2.21
Doug Overton	32	33	0.16	0.35	-0.19	0.19	-1	10	-11	14.6	13.3	1.28	16.8	15.7	1.10
Rex Walters	8	7	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	8	-7	17.5	13.4	4.14	19.6	15.9	3.72
Mark Bradtke	17	17	0.04	0.47	-0.43	0.10	-2	11	-13	11.9	14.1	-2.22	15.3	16.3	-1.01
Mark Davis	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	11.6	14.2	-2.65	15.9	16.2	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 83, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.1%
SAS 91, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,1	94.0%
NYK 100, SAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%