NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	5.7 [706]		MVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): +46.6%
Sacramento Kings	112		Comeback	1.0 [1260]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -10.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.01	23	57%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	0.05
Stephon Marbury	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	13	53%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.02
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	68%	0.11	5	-0.14	10	50%	-0.05
Mardy Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	64%	0.08	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.29	0.16	-0.02	22	78%	0.50	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	15	58%	0.17	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	26.1	14.6	27.5	2.3	25.7	124.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +45.2%

NYK -4.5%

NYK -17.5%

SAC +20.8%

SAC +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.4	106.4	123.1	104.5
season	15.7	14.7		103.7	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	17.5	17.2	14.6	15.9
SAC	15.5	16.0	14.0	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	16	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-8	4	13.9	16.3	-2.43	16.9	15.0	1.94
Channing Frye	59	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.12	-2	-10	8	15.6	16.4	-0.85	16.3	13.4	2.90
David Lee	72	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-13	14	15.6	17.0	-1.44	14.8	16.7	-1.93
Malik Rose	39	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-3	-6	18.1	14.3	3.73	13.7	16.3	-2.58
Jared Jeffries	38	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	2	-16	15.4	16.2	-0.88	17.2	13.9	3.25
Eddy Curry	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	15.8	16.2	-0.38	14.6	17.6	-3.03
Jamal Crawford	90	88	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-3	-6	15.6	21.5	-5.86	15.3	14.3	0.93
Stephon Marbury	83	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	2	-16	16.4	12.4	4.00	15.0	17.8	-2.83

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	81	85	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.09	21	-9	30	15.3	14.4	0.93	16.1	14.3	1.73
Mike Bibby	74	76	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.09	21	-9	30	14.7	17.4	-2.61	15.9	15.7	0.21
John Salmons	54	57	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	5	2	14.8	15.8	-0.98	15.9	15.9	-0.04
Kenny Thomas	57	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	6	0	15.0	15.7	-0.71	16.6	14.7	1.94
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	58	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	7	-2	14.7	16.2	-1.54	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Brad Miller	19	20	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	4	4	16.6	14.9	1.77	17.2	15.5	1.66
Kevin Martin	51	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	8	-4	15.6	14.7	0.86	15.5	16.3	-0.84
Corliss Williamson	21	21	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	12	-12	15.9	15.0	0.81	14.5	16.3	-1.76
Francisco Garcia	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	16	-20	15.2	15.2	0.01	16.5	15.7	0.75
Quincy Douby	19	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.07	-8	20	-28	17.2	14.7	2.50	14.5	16.3	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 85, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%
DET 97, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.77,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%