NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	5.1 [803]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +13.3%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.1 [459]		LVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): -13.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felipe Lopez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Sam Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	16	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	19	43%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	15	41%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.03	-0.04	20	58%	0.13	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	11	62%	0.12	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	9	65%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	17	24%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	16	42%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	17%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.0	29.1	15.8	23.0	1.6	28.8	121.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +38.6%

MIN -13.1%

MIN -8.8%

HOU +29.8%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	HOU	NBA	MIN	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	17.3	15.6	92.2	100.0	102.3
season	15.0	16.8		106.7	100.9
opponent	15.2	16.1		106.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	18.2	14.7	15.8	11.5	14.9
HOU	16.0	16.6	20.2	16.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Loren Woods	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-7	8	14.6	14.9	-0.31	16.6	17.4	-0.78
Sam Mitchell	31	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-6	6	16.7	13.9	2.88	18.2	16.9	1.24
Rasho Nesterovic	35	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	0	-6	16.4	13.9	2.53	18.1	16.8	1.35
Felipe Lopez	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-3	0	15.3	14.6	0.75	18.2	16.8	1.36
Joe Smith	64	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.5	0.50	16.5	19.5	-3.02
Anthony Peeler	48	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-6	6	13.3	16.6	-3.26	17.2	17.5	-0.22
Wally Szczerbiak	77	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-3	0	14.3	18.2	-3.95	17.5	16.4	1.06
Kevin Garnett	81	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	2	-10	14.9	14.7	0.21	17.5	16.2	1.28
Chauncey Billups	72	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	4	-14	14.6	16.0	-1.43	16.8	19.5	-2.72

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	80	80	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-5	16	17.2	18.2	-0.98	14.7	16.2	-1.51
Cuttino Mobley	81	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-1	8	17.1	19.6	-2.51	15.0	13.1	1.86
Steve Francis	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	1	4	17.5	14.5	2.97	14.9	14.4	0.48
Kenny Thomas	75	77	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	17.3	17.4	-0.02	15.0	14.0	1.00
Moochie Norris	55	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	6	-6	17.3	17.4	-0.12	13.2	17.9	-4.73
Kevin Willis	20	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-1	8	15.3	17.9	-2.56	18.7	13.7	5.03
Terence Morris	30	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	11	-16	18.9	16.5	2.36	15.7	14.5	1.19
Dan Langhi	7	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	7	-8	17.9	17.3	0.56	14.2	14.9	-0.74
Oscar Torres	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	17.9	17.2	0.67	13.7	15.0	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, CHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
NJN 109, TOR 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%
DAL 89, LAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.8%