NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	6.2 [546]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +27.8%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	1.0 [863]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -17.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.02	15	65%	0.23	7	-0.16	10	80%	0.03
Manu Ginobili	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.11	-0.04	0.02	16	71%	0.20	4	-0.14	9	100%	0.05
Ime Udoka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	7	28%	-0.09	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.18	0.09	-0.01	10	96%	0.31	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.13	-0.00	7	53%	0.17	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.16
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	18	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	32.4	15.6	28.4	2.5	34.2	138.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +42.3%

SAS -1.7%

SAS -0.6%

UTA +17.6%

SAS -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.4	96.8	101.0	105.7
season	16.5	15.5		104.7	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		105.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.8	15.1	18.9	13.6	15.5
UTA	15.2	13.7	13.9	16.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	43	44	0.25	-0.75	1.01	-0.19	15	-21	36	14.9	16.1	-1.19	16.0	13.7	2.27
Francisco Elson	35	34	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-16	26	14.5	16.1	-1.62	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Matt Bonner	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-11	16	13.4	16.0	-2.58	15.9	14.5	1.35
Michael Finley	43	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-12	18	15.5	15.6	-0.08	16.0	13.8	2.19
Robert Horry	31	32	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	16.5	15.0	1.47	13.4	15.5	-2.03
Jacque Vaughn	32	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-2	-2	15.8	15.4	0.43	12.5	15.8	-3.38
Tony Parker	62	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.21	-2	-4	2	15.4	15.8	-0.43	15.8	12.5	3.38
Fabricio Oberto	26	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	8	-22	17.7	14.7	3.04	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Manu Ginobili	62	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	6	-18	15.2	16.2	-0.99	13.9	16.6	-2.75
Tim Duncan	71	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	7	-20	15.7	15.0	0.65	15.3	13.1	2.18
Bruce Bowen	47	48	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.16	-19	13	-32	16.1	15.0	1.06	14.0	15.6	-1.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	71	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.22	17	-11	28	15.3	13.2	2.10	16.0	14.3	1.75
Carlos Boozer	82	79	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-10	26	14.9	14.2	0.68	15.6	14.9	0.71
Deron Williams	84	83	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	14.8	14.4	0.43	15.6	15.0	0.60
Jarron Collins	18	17	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-3	12	13.7	15.0	-1.32	17.8	15.0	2.80
Ronnie Brewer	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	-2	10	14.5	15.0	-0.48	16.8	14.4	2.41
Kyle Korver	50	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	15.0	14.5	0.48	14.4	16.8	-2.41
Mehmet Okur	62	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	4	-2	15.5	13.5	2.05	16.1	14.4	1.71
Ronnie Price	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	6	-6	14.4	14.8	-0.43	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Matt Harpring	34	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.23	-13	19	-32	13.9	15.3	-1.32	13.8	16.5	-2.73
Paul Millsap	21	22	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.12	-13	19	-32	12.7	15.4	-2.66	12.9	16.3	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.0%
HOU 95, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.95,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,1	93.5%
MIN 83, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.5%