NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	5.8 [615]		MVP	Kevin Willis (HOU): +13.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.0 [921]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -14.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.07	0.03	17	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mario Elie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	18	51%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	16	53%	0.03	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.04	13	64%	0.21	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	86%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.03	16	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Sam Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	59%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	16	32%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	28.6	17.8	25.1	2.5	30.5	131.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +18.0%

MIN +20.9%

MIN +15.8%

HOU -6.2%

MIN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	100.0	110.9	102.5
season	15.7	14.8		104.5	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.4	16.0	15.3	14.0	15.7
MIN	13.9	15.2	14.1	17.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Price	33	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-12	17	17.0	15.0	2.06	17.1	14.1	3.00
Eddie Johnson	42	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-9	11	16.6	14.9	1.68	16.2	14.2	1.99
Othella Harrington	35	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-1	-5	17.0	14.9	2.04	16.7	14.2	2.43
Hakeem Olajuwon	78	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-7	7	15.1	18.4	-3.32	15.2	14.6	0.63
Mario Elie	72	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.8	-0.13	15.3	14.4	0.90
Kevin Willis	76	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.0	0.86	14.5	17.3	-2.86
Clyde Drexler	76	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.17	-10	3	-13	15.0	18.5	-3.49	14.0	19.5	-5.50
Matt Maloney	63	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	5	-17	15.0	16.9	-1.89	14.2	16.9	-2.66

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	82	85	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	14.9	17.2	-2.35	15.6	16.8	-1.25
Anthony Peeler	78	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-5	17	14.7	17.6	-2.90	14.8	21.8	-7.04
Stephon Marbury	74	75	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	3	1	14.9	15.9	-1.04	15.2	17.3	-2.11
Terry Porter	51	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	7	-7	16.0	14.0	2.09	15.8	15.6	0.22
Tom Hammonds	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	0	7	16.6	14.0	2.57	16.9	14.8	2.06
Sam Mitchell	56	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	4	-1	14.2	16.4	-2.19	14.8	17.2	-2.35
Stanley Roberts	29	30	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.11	11	-4	15	11.5	16.8	-5.30	18.0	14.6	3.34
Bill Curley	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	14	-21	16.2	14.4	1.81	15.9	15.6	0.32
Cherokee Parks	2	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	7	-7	18.5	15.0	3.47	13.0	15.7	-2.71
Reggie Jordan	14	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	14	-21	20.3	14.2	6.11	19.2	15.1	4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.95,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CLE 104, SAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.84,1	93.7%