NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	120		Excitement	5.7 [636]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +14.0%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.6 [449]		LVP	Will Perdue (SAS): -12.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.00	9	85%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mitchell Butler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.02	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.02
Randolph Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.04	13	64%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.03
Rasheed Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	5	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.02
Gary Trent	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	21	65%	0.11	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	82%	0.12	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Kempton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	18	61%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	22.9	15.7	29.5	2.6	35.5	130.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +35.3%

SAS -2.8%

POR +27.9%

SAS -9.8%

SAS -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.6	131.9	121.1	104.4
season	15.5	16.8		105.2	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	18.0	15.7	15.8	16.0
SAS	15.2	19.9	15.6	13.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Anderson	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	4	3	15.3	18.7	-3.37	15.2	18.8	-3.59
Gary Trent	31	30	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	4	3	20.4	13.7	6.70	18.4	14.6	3.87
Clifford Robinson	68	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	3	5	15.0	18.8	-3.77	15.0	18.5	-3.52
Chris Dudley	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	9	-7	18.8	13.9	4.85	17.9	14.3	3.57
Isaiah Rider	68	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	2	7	15.2	18.1	-2.84	14.5	19.9	-5.45
Aaron McKie	27	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	17.8	15.2	2.57	19.0	14.6	4.42
Arvydas Sabonis	47	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	4	3	15.4	16.5	-1.08	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Mitchell Butler	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.02	5	6	-1	15.3	16.3	-0.91	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Rasheed Wallace	60	60	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	7	-3	13.7	20.4	-6.70	14.6	18.4	-3.87
Randolph Childress	13	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	9	-7	19.5	15.4	4.17	20.2	15.1	5.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Herrera	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-14	17	19.3	15.1	4.24	21.2	14.9	6.33
Cory Alexander	14	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-9	7	20.2	15.1	5.16	19.5	15.4	4.17
Tim Kempton	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-9	7	16.4	15.8	0.58	17.7	15.8	1.82
Monty Williams	34	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-7	3	15.7	15.9	-0.19	14.4	16.9	-2.48
Will Perdue	40	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	15.8	15.9	-0.10	15.2	16.6	-1.41
Vernon Maxwell	47	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-8	5	15.4	16.3	-0.90	16.7	15.1	1.61
Greg Anderson	22	20	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-4	-3	17.5	15.3	2.18	17.6	15.5	2.09
Sean Elliott	66	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-5	-1	16.2	15.0	1.22	16.5	14.3	2.28
Avery Johnson	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	14.6	19.0	-4.35	14.8	19.2	-4.35
Vinny Del Negro	60	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	0	-11	15.4	16.8	-1.37	14.5	18.9	-4.43
Dominique Wilkins	80	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	1	-13	15.3	20.6	-5.34	16.0	15.7	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.3,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 87, VAN 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	94.9%
IND 89, ORL 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	94.6%