NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	4.8 [851]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +16.2%
Orlando Magic	78		Comeback	1.6 [351]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -12.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.03	-0.00	9	83%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	63%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Kenny Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.10	0.02	-0.06	17	45%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	21	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	7	25%	-0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	89%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Derrick Dial	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	14	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	15	52%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	11	52%	0.04	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	0.01	11	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	30.8	16.5	26.1	1.8	33.7	133.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.9%

ORL -0.1%

IND +18.2%

IND +13.1%

ORL -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	17.7	17.4	15.7	108.5	95.1	100.5
season	16.7	15.7		101.1	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.2	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.4	16.5	20.2	16.9	17.7
ORL	18.6	17.8	16.8	16.6	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	65	64	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.06	20	-9	29	17.5	18.4	-0.90	17.8	15.9	1.90
Metta World Peace	60	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-2	15	18.4	15.8	2.57	17.5	17.1	0.37
Reggie Miller	49	50	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.05	13	-2	15	17.1	18.6	-1.58	16.8	18.3	-1.50
Kenny Anderson	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-3	17	17.7	17.7	-0.08	16.8	18.5	-1.75
Jeff Foster	36	37	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	1	9	18.6	17.0	1.68	17.3	17.5	-0.24
Austin Croshere	41	39	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	5	1	16.1	19.2	-3.10	17.2	17.6	-0.37
Anthony Johnson	32	31	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	14	-17	17.3	17.9	-0.63	18.5	16.8	1.75
Al Harrington	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.22	-6	17	-23	17.9	17.5	0.36	17.9	17.0	0.97
Fred Jones	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	16	-21	18.9	17.2	1.73	17.3	17.5	-0.23
Scot Pollard	15	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	18	-25	18.3	17.6	0.70	17.0	17.5	-0.52

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reece Gaines	17	14	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-17	23	17.5	17.4	0.06	20.1	17.2	2.95
Derrick Dial	0	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-11	11	0.0	17.4	-17.43	4.0	17.9	-13.86
Andrew DeClercq	28	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-15	19	18.1	17.1	1.03	19.8	16.7	3.15
Keith Bogans	32	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-9	7	17.4	17.4	-0.03	17.0	18.1	-1.15
Drew Gooden	48	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.26	3	-14	17	16.9	18.2	-1.28	19.0	16.1	2.92
Donnell Harvey	55	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-8	5	17.9	16.6	1.30	17.5	18.2	-0.73
Juwan Howard	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	0	-11	17.0	18.4	-1.46	17.6	17.8	-0.15
Steven Hunter	41	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	7	-25	18.0	16.9	1.10	16.9	18.5	-1.57
Tyronn Lue	65	68	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.09	-17	6	-23	17.4	17.5	-0.06	17.2	20.1	-2.95
Gordan Giricek	67	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.10	-17	6	-23	17.2	18.3	-1.11	17.2	20.0	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, GSW 79	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 102, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.2%
DEN 105, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%