NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	4.7 [886]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (IND): +17.2%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	1.8 [296]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
David West	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	57%	0.10	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
George Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	17	39%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	14	53%	0.08	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	12	72%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	15	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	46%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	28	44%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.5	32.8	16.8	31.2	3.5	40.3	152.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.5%

IND +2.9%

IND +19.2%

NYK -11.3%

IND +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	14.6	15.4	112.1	102.2	104.1
season	16.1	16.2		102.4	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	18.4	14.2	18.6	16.7
NYK	13.4	17.6	15.8	12.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	75	76	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.16	17	-10	27	16.5	17.7	-1.24	14.3	15.9	-1.64
David West	72	74	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	-7	21	16.5	17.7	-1.21	14.3	15.8	-1.49
George Hill	81	81	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-4	15	17.0	14.3	2.72	14.7	14.2	0.40
Paul George	84	87	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	4	-1	16.3	21.6	-5.25	14.3	18.3	-3.99
Roy Hibbert	75	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	8	-9	16.8	16.5	0.27	14.1	16.7	-2.57
Ian Mahinmi	16	17	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	-1	9	16.5	16.8	-0.27	16.7	14.1	2.57
D.J. Augustin	23	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	17.6	16.4	1.18	15.1	14.4	0.71
Tyler Hansbrough	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	14	-21	17.7	16.5	1.21	15.8	14.3	1.49
Sam Young	10	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	12	-17	17.3	16.7	0.65	17.4	14.3	3.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	33	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-11	15	15.6	14.0	1.56	16.6	16.8	-0.24
Marcus Camby	1	0	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-4	1	2.0	14.7	-12.74	0.0	16.7	-16.73
Pablo Prigioni	42	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.14	2	-9	11	15.1	14.2	0.99	17.6	16.0	1.57
Carmelo Anthony	69	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.30	7	-14	21	14.2	15.7	-1.55	17.0	15.8	1.26
Chris Copeland	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-1	-5	17.1	14.2	2.91	17.2	16.6	0.58
Kenyon Martin	49	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	15.0	14.2	0.84	16.7	16.7	0.02
J.R. Smith	65	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-4	1	14.2	15.5	-1.28	16.9	16.4	0.48
Tyson Chandler	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	1	-9	14.3	15.0	-0.67	16.2	17.5	-1.33
Raymond Felton	75	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	2	-11	14.3	15.9	-1.60	16.2	18.9	-2.72
Iman Shumpert	62	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	6	-19	14.5	14.8	-0.31	16.7	16.8	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, ORL 78	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	95.2%
WAS 96, CLE 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MEM 100, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.9%