NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	4.8 [820]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +11.0%
Vancouver Grizzlies	76		Comeback	1.6 [453]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -18.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.01	15	66%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	14	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Tyrone Corbin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	22%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.18	-0.00	-0.03	16	41%	-0.03	6	-0.12	5	60%	-0.02

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	15	60%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	11	48%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	14	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.06	0.04	23	47%	-0.08	4	-0.10	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	31.6	0.2	21.1	2.4	26.6	107.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.4%

VAN -5.6%

ATL +12.0%

VAN -6.5%

ATL +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	VAN	NBA	ATL	VAN	NBA
this game	18.0	16.7	15.6	104.8	91.6	104.4
season	16.4	16.3		105.3	97.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		109.2	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.6	16.8	18.4	20.5	18.0
VAN	15.4	18.4	17.6	15.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	78	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-5	21	17.7	22.6	-4.86	16.8	14.6	2.19
Christian Laettner	73	74	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-3	17	17.6	20.9	-3.26	17.0	13.6	3.48
Steven Smith	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	3	5	17.8	21.0	-3.19	16.8	14.8	1.97
Dikembe Mutombo	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.18	6	5	1	17.9	18.9	-1.01	16.5	17.7	-1.17
Tyrone Corbin	67	67	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	8	-5	18.1	17.6	0.59	16.7	16.4	0.36
Eldridge Recasner	32	31	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	3	5	19.2	17.3	1.98	15.3	17.5	-2.24
Ivano Newbill	16	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	20.1	17.6	2.51	16.8	16.6	0.13

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Mobley	9	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-9	7	16.3	16.7	-0.37	22.1	17.5	4.62
Pete Chilcutt	9	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-9	7	17.2	16.6	0.63	19.0	17.9	1.05
Roy Rogers	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-8	5	17.0	16.1	0.95	16.3	20.8	-4.57
Lee Mayberry	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-2	-7	19.3	16.1	3.18	13.8	19.0	-5.17
Anthony Peeler	69	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-10	9	16.3	18.2	-1.87	18.4	16.3	2.11
Blue Edwards	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	16.1	17.2	-1.06	18.7	17.4	1.23
Lawrence Moten	14	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-1	-9	18.2	16.3	1.87	16.3	18.4	-2.11
Greg Anthony	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-9	7	16.1	19.3	-3.18	19.0	13.8	5.17
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-8	5	16.4	18.5	-2.09	18.5	14.3	4.25
Bryant Reeves	67	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.13	-17	6	-23	17.0	15.4	1.52	17.7	19.4	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
POR 120, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.3,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0	94.9%
SAS 104, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%