NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	6.6 [474]		MVP	Dana Barros (BOS): +19.6%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.6 [768]		LVP	Dino Radja (BOS): -14.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	11	68%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	15	59%	0.01	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.09
Travis Knight	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	19	43%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	13	48%	-0.11	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.12
Byron Scott	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	7	31%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.01	9	83%	0.23	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	7	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.02	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	76%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Brickowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.03	14	59%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Dino Radja	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	18	47%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	25.6	16.5	25.0	2.5	35.3	131.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.9%

BOS +18.5%

BOS +2.0%

LAL -5.7%

BOS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	15.6	94.9	112.2	104.4
season	15.3	14.8		105.8	101.8
opponent	14.7	15.7		109.5	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.2	14.1	17.9	12.5	14.4
BOS	12.9	17.8	12.1	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	15	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-15	14	13.9	14.5	-0.60	18.9	14.2	4.74
Kobe Bryant	39	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	-8	0	15.1	13.9	1.24	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Byron Scott	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-15	14	14.4	14.3	0.11	15.0	14.7	0.37
Derek Fisher	42	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-9	2	13.2	15.2	-2.01	16.1	13.9	2.20
Travis Knight	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-6	-4	15.0	14.2	0.80	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Elden Campbell	75	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-9	2	14.7	13.3	1.43	15.1	14.1	1.02
Shaquille O'Neal	78	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	-7	-2	14.4	14.3	0.11	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Nick Van Exel	74	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	2	-20	14.2	14.8	-0.52	14.3	16.7	-2.38
Eddie Jones	92	91	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	3	-22	14.3	15.7	-1.44	14.4	20.4	-5.99

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dino Radja	82	82	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	1	14	14.3	17.7	-3.45	14.8	12.2	2.58
Rick Fox	60	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.09	13	3	10	13.7	16.7	-2.92	15.6	12.3	3.27
Dana Barros	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	1	14	14.2	17.5	-3.32	14.1	15.5	-1.40
Greg Minor	27	28	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	8	0	16.0	14.4	1.61	15.0	14.1	0.92
Eric Williams	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	1	14	13.7	17.4	-3.64	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Antoine Walker	71	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	5	6	14.6	15.6	-1.05	14.3	14.6	-0.25
Frank Brickowski	26	27	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	18	-20	18.4	13.6	4.79	14.7	14.2	0.45
Dee Brown	50	49	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	14	-12	16.8	12.8	4.03	12.9	15.8	-2.92
Brett Szabo	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	12	-8	11.5	14.9	-3.44	9.0	14.5	-5.54
Todd Day	13	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	16	-16	15.6	14.8	0.86	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Marty Conlon	15	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	17	-18	17.7	14.4	3.31	14.1	14.4	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1	95.1%
VAN 91, LAL 103	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.0%
POR 92, DEN 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.42,0.52,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.99,1	93.9%