NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	6.7 [456]		MVP	Robert Pack (DEN): +18.9%
Denver Nuggets	94		Comeback	1.5 [259]		LVP	Kevin Willis (DEN): -22.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	61%	0.14	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.01	0.07	-0.08	0.00	10	63%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Damon Stoudamire	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	13	65%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	5	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Dale Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	11	43%	-0.08	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	20	63%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	13	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	11	31%	-0.13	1	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06
Kevin Willis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.19	-0.03	0.01	25	35%	-0.12	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.6	28.4	15.7	28.0	2.4	33.4	131.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +16.4%

POR -4.1%

DEN +26.6%

DEN +13.0%

POR -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DEN	NBA	POR	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	15.6	15.5	94.8	96.9	100.9
season	15.8	15.2		103.9	101.4
opponent	15.2	15.8		104.1	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.3	16.4	12.6	14.1	14.1
DEN	15.5	14.9	15.7	16.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Anthony	23	23	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.12	7	-9	16	13.8	14.1	-0.31	14.9	15.9	-1.00
Stacey Augmon	22	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-4	6	16.7	13.3	3.45	16.3	15.4	0.94
Shawn Kemp	16	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.34	8	-10	18	13.0	14.3	-1.27	17.1	15.3	1.82
Detlef Schrempf	39	40	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	4	-10	16.4	12.5	3.88	16.4	15.1	1.31
Steven Smith	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.46	9	-11	20	14.5	13.4	1.08	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Bonzi Wells	67	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-3	4	13.5	15.3	-1.74	17.2	12.5	4.62
Arvydas Sabonis	41	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	5	-12	13.3	14.6	-1.33	15.6	15.7	-0.06
Dale Davis	68	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.16	-7	5	-12	14.0	14.3	-0.31	14.7	17.6	-2.93
Damon Stoudamire	77	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	4	-10	13.7	15.3	-1.62	15.7	15.3	0.35
Scottie Pippen	75	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.32	-11	9	-20	13.4	16.5	-3.09	14.6	18.9	-4.25

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	84	84	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-3	8	15.7	15.5	0.19	13.4	18.3	-4.90
Robert Pack	88	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	-2	6	15.5	16.7	-1.14	13.5	20.5	-7.02
Kevin Willis	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-1	4	15.2	17.1	-1.87	13.1	17.4	-4.30
Voshon Lenard	36	37	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	-1	4	14.9	16.0	-1.13	15.5	13.2	2.26
Calbert Cheaney	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-7	16	16.6	14.8	1.82	13.6	14.5	-0.95
George McCloud	64	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.47	-6	8	-14	15.4	16.2	-0.79	14.9	12.5	2.40
Raef LaFrentz	60	61	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	-1	4	16.6	14.0	2.63	14.5	13.3	1.20
Ryan Bowen	22	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	11	-20	14.1	16.1	-1.93	14.9	13.8	1.06
Anthony Goldwire	9	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	4	-6	16.7	15.5	1.14	20.5	13.5	7.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.42,0.52,0.68,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 91, LAL 103	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.0%
LAL 94, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.97,1,1	93.9%
WAS 84, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.66,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%