NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	85		Excitement	6.3 [561]		MVP	Danny Granger (IND): +14.4%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.6 [973]		LVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): -14.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.00	0.02	24	60%	0.15	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Antonio McDyess	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	15	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	8	43%	-0.02	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	9	58%	0.15	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	12	60%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	22	45%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	14	29%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	31%	-0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	27.5	16.4	22.1	1.8	35.0	128.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +18.9%

DET -9.8%

IND +26.2%

IND +13.4%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.2	17.9	15.6	100.0	110.7	104.4
season	16.9	16.0		108.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.8	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.2	16.6	18.6	13.9	16.2
IND	18.9	16.1	18.3	18.2	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	24	22	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.08	4	-12	16	14.3	17.0	-2.65	18.6	17.6	1.06
Carlos Delfino	19	21	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-11	14	14.6	16.7	-2.07	18.3	17.7	0.57
Maurice Evans	10	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-7	6	19.1	15.9	3.25	13.0	18.4	-5.44
Dale Davis	8	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-5	2	19.9	15.9	4.02	13.7	18.3	-4.54
Rasheed Wallace	65	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-8	8	15.7	18.0	-2.31	19.3	13.2	6.05
Antonio McDyess	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-7	6	16.1	16.3	-0.29	15.8	19.3	-3.52
Richard Hamilton	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	15.9	18.1	-2.17	18.5	14.5	4.02
Ben Wallace	64	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	4	-16	16.4	15.7	0.76	18.0	17.3	0.73
Tayshaun Prince	69	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.27	-13	5	-18	16.6	14.6	1.98	17.7	18.4	-0.70
Chauncey Billups	61	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.35	-12	4	-16	17.0	14.3	2.65	17.6	18.6	-1.06

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	67	69	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-6	20	17.9	17.8	0.04	16.7	14.4	2.21
Anthony Johnson	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	0	8	18.9	15.9	2.99	16.8	15.1	1.72
Danny Granger	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-3	14	16.2	19.3	-3.10	15.8	16.6	-0.85
Fred Jones	46	45	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.29	2	6	-4	16.4	19.7	-3.29	15.4	17.1	-1.68
Scot Pollard	49	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	3	2	19.7	15.3	4.41	17.0	15.1	1.81
David Harrison	33	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	4	0	15.2	19.6	-4.41	15.6	16.6	-1.08
Jeff Foster	48	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.26	-4	12	-16	19.2	16.1	3.06	16.3	16.2	0.12
Peja Stojakovic	55	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	19.1	15.5	3.57	16.4	16.0	0.36
Sarunas Jasikevicius	29	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	15.9	18.9	-2.99	15.1	16.8	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, BOS 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.93,0.79,0.97,1,1	95.1%
MIL 86, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.98,1,1	95.0%
MIA 83, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.7%