inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 89 Excitement3.9 [997] MVPKeith Askins (MIA): +4.1%
Miami Heat 101 Comeback1.2 [880] LVPRay Allen (MIL): -8.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glenn Robinson0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.031859%0.073-0.071100%0.00
David Wood0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Joe Wolf-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Lang-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.000.03667%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Johnny Newman-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.03533%-0.001-0.022100%0.00
Darrin Hancock-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Vin Baker-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.020.010.061761%0.023-0.061080%0.01
Sherman Douglas-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.01856%-0.023-0.052100%0.01
Armen Gilliam-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00833%-0.0600.002100%0.00
Elliot Perry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.03333%-0.024-0.0600%0.00
Ray Allen-0.090,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.00-0.00847%0.004-0.093100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Askins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.024100%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Sasha Danilovic0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.02-0.03762%0.083-0.042100%0.01
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.01672%0.061-0.02683%-0.00
Dan Majerle0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.001064%0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.00-0.021146%-0.0000.00450%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.02633%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.09-0.00-0.041046%-0.013-0.04667%-0.01
Gary Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.00-0.00636%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.030.031756%-0.013-0.07743%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.81.722.115.627.11.628.4124.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.8%
MIL -5.1%
MIA +17.4%
MIA +8.5%
MIA +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILMIANBAMILMIANBA
this game15.514.615.693.7105.2104.4
season16.015.8103.9103.1
opponent16.315.598.3106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.718.116.614.215.5
MIA12.914.614.716.414.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David Wood330.00-0.500.50-0.093-15186.715.8-9.1620.314.45.89
Joe Wolf910-0.04-0.460.43-0.154-162011.316.0-4.6415.814.51.31
Darrin Hancock66-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-10819.315.34.0518.314.43.96
Elliot Perry2929-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-4-417.014.92.1616.014.01.97
Ray Allen6160-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-8-4-415.914.90.9313.616.4-2.82
Sherman Douglas6667-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.19-4-8414.917.0-2.1614.016.0-1.97
Andrew Lang6464-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-11-1-1015.914.90.9913.916.0-2.06
Vin Baker8081-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-8-4-416.013.03.0114.714.10.58
Glenn Robinson7475-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.05-9-3-615.416.1-0.7813.917.2-3.34
Johnny Newman4142-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.04-10-2-814.916.0-1.1216.013.52.53
Armen Gilliam4243-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.15-7-5-215.615.50.0615.713.81.86

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ike Austin56550.460.040.430.111201215.213.71.5015.116.2-1.10
Sasha Danilovic69680.420.080.340.071201214.814.30.5116.413.42.92
Alonzo Mourning71700.350.150.19-0.001201214.016.5-2.5616.114.02.14
Tim Hardaway54550.340.160.170.011111014.215.1-0.9215.915.00.97
Keith Askins44440.330.170.170.1375215.314.11.2414.816.2-1.42
Dan Majerle71700.220.28-0.070.0757-213.817.0-3.1614.917.3-2.37
P.J. Brown42410.200.30-0.100.0557-215.514.01.5115.415.6-0.26
Gary Grant42400.160.34-0.170.13111-1015.114.20.9215.015.9-0.97
Kurt Thomas28290.020.48-0.460.08-214-1613.914.9-1.0816.914.91.96
Mark Strickland330.000.50-0.500.09-315-1820.314.45.896.715.8-9.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 84, ORL 930.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
BOS 86, CLE 1130.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%
CLE 113, DEN 1260.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%