inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 113 Excitement4.1 [992] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +15.1%
Denver Nuggets 126 Comeback1.3 [534] LVPChanning Frye (CLE): -4.5%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.21-0.010.062265%0.1400.007100%0.03
Deron Williams0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.190.010.081090%0.1100.001100%0.00
Kevin Love0.030,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01950%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tristan Thompson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02475%0.0300.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.001264%0.104-0.07450%-0.02
Iman Shumpert0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.002125%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Kyle Korver0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00950%0.031-0.0200%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeAndre Liggins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Derrick Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
JR Smith-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.02721%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Channing Frye-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.000.02440%-0.041-0.012100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.00-0.021469%0.1500.001100%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.020.021470%0.1400.002100%0.01
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.01-0.041162%0.1300.002100%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.001555%0.1000.001100%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.000.001462%0.092-0.041100%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.00267%0.0500.002100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.011050%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.051080%0.073-0.0500%0.00
Darrell Arthur00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.02625%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.627.114.625.12.525.3118.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +26.3%
DEN +10.0%
DEN +6.5%
DEN +5.4%
DEN +1.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDENNBACLEDENNBA
this game14.615.914.8120.2132.6107.7
season14.914.4113.5111.6
opponent14.514.7111.2109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.716.712.814.214.6
DEN13.014.616.520.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones450.00-0.500.50-0.155-182314.514.6-0.1116.615.80.78
DeAndre Liggins780.00-0.500.50-0.155-182312.314.8-2.5118.515.62.88
Derrick Williams1112-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-192513.214.8-1.6120.215.24.93
Channing Frye3942-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-131314.115.0-0.8618.314.04.30
Richard Jefferson3031-0.14-0.360.23-0.192-151715.214.30.8216.815.41.40
Iman Shumpert3335-0.16-0.340.18-0.191-141513.815.0-1.2115.516.0-0.51
Deron Williams3738-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-10714.414.7-0.3318.214.33.82
Kevin Love4745-0.23-0.270.030.00-8-5-314.514.7-0.1514.017.6-3.58
JR Smith4543-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-2-914.914.40.5014.217.2-2.98
Kyrie Irving5757-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-4-514.115.4-1.3214.517.9-3.34
Tristan Thompson5757-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.01-9-4-514.115.4-1.3214.517.9-3.34
Kyle Korver3536-0.32-0.18-0.130.09-141-1516.013.82.1717.315.02.28
LeBron James6866-0.610.11-0.710.27-3017-4715.711.83.8215.516.8-1.29

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wilson Chandler78790.54-0.040.58-0.0821-82916.115.01.0515.211.33.97
Will Barton63620.420.080.350.10112916.514.61.9114.714.50.16
Kenneth Faried38370.350.150.20-0.0915-21716.615.41.2813.615.2-1.58
Jamal Murray37360.320.180.13-0.01112916.615.41.2415.713.91.76
Juan Hernangomez32310.310.190.120.0594513.717.0-3.2815.914.01.98
Nikola Jokic57590.240.26-0.020.0376115.117.0-1.8514.514.8-0.35
Jameer Nelson58580.180.32-0.130.12211-915.416.6-1.2413.915.7-1.76
Gary Harris65650.130.37-0.230.19-215-1715.217.3-2.1513.916.2-2.36
Mason Plumlee52500.100.40-0.310.13-114-1516.914.72.2115.014.20.76
Darrell Arthur320.000.50-0.500.09-316-1912.016.0-3.999.014.7-5.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 92, NYK 1010.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,195.8%
MIL 89, MIA 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
CLE 68, PHI 790.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%