NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	3.7 [1037]		MVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): +12.3%
New York Knicks	101		Comeback	1.2 [1093]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -17.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gerard King	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	9	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Don Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	14	55%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Mitch Richmond	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	22	43%	-0.08	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	15	75%	0.17	3	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	12	52%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	66%	0.01	2	-0.05	16	81%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	14	33%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	5	29%	-0.05	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	28.6	17.4	25.6	1.8	35.1	137.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.4%

NYK +11.2%

NYK +4.6%

NYK +1.8%

NYK +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.2	100.0	109.8	101.7
season	15.5	16.1		101.1	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.8		98.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.1	17.4	16.5	12.8	16.1
NYK	14.6	14.5	16.2	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	11	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-8	7	13.1	16.5	-3.42	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Jahidi White	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-10	11	18.7	14.4	4.22	16.1	14.6	1.49
Calvin Booth	14	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-2	-5	16.0	16.1	-0.12	12.8	15.6	-2.86
Chris Whitney	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-2	-5	16.5	15.7	0.81	14.7	15.6	-0.91
Don Reid	37	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	14.0	17.5	-3.46	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Gerard King	64	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-12	15	16.2	16.0	0.19	15.2	15.3	-0.17
Aaron Williams	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	7	-23	16.6	15.8	0.78	15.7	14.9	0.84
Juwan Howard	86	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-6	3	16.0	17.2	-1.14	15.4	12.6	2.76
Mitch Richmond	86	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-6	3	16.1	15.8	0.28	15.5	10.8	4.66
Richard Hamilton	48	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.8	16.5	-0.68	14.7	15.7	-1.01

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	62	60	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.02	25	-16	41	14.5	16.8	-2.32	15.5	17.2	-1.67
Larry Johnson	66	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-1	11	15.6	14.2	1.47	16.7	14.4	2.28
Patrick Ewing	62	63	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	4	1	15.1	15.3	-0.19	16.5	15.3	1.20
Kurt Thomas	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	6	-3	16.0	14.6	1.45	15.9	16.2	-0.26
Allan Houston	73	74	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	9	-9	15.6	13.8	1.79	16.0	16.4	-0.36
Latrell Sprewell	71	71	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.29	-3	12	-15	14.3	18.4	-4.11	15.4	18.3	-2.90
Rick Brunson	29	28	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	4	1	14.9	15.3	-0.40	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Charlie Ward	57	57	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	9	-9	15.9	14.1	1.76	16.9	14.8	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 102, GSW 128	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
CHA 81, CLE 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
CLE 113, DEN 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%