NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	3.7 [646]		MVP	Shawn Kemp (CLE): +6.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Comeback	1.2 [610]		LVP	Ron Mercer (BOS): -13.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Minor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Schintzius	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marlon Garnett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	18	47%	-0.00	3	-0.06	11	45%	-0.05
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	9	48%	-0.00	4	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	8	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.03	16	37%	-0.11	5	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	63%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.02	16	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	62%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	69%	0.03	2	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	0.01	0.07	7	79%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	75%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	6	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	24.5	15.4	30.7	2.5	27.9	125.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.9%

BOS -1.9%

CLE +4.3%

CLE +8.5%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.8	95.6	125.6	99.6
season	15.0	16.3		98.1	97.3
opponent	16.2	15.8		99.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.9	16.2	15.0	18.2	16.3
CLE	16.1	16.5	15.6	14.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Schintzius	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-25	23	13.9	16.5	-2.66	13.1	15.9	-2.76
Bruce Bowen	22	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-23	19	17.0	16.1	0.85	18.4	14.9	3.57
Marlon Garnett	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	-21	15	18.4	15.5	2.97	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Dana Barros	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-26	25	14.1	16.7	-2.65	17.7	15.3	2.40
Tony Battie	32	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	-14	1	14.7	17.2	-2.57	16.3	15.3	1.02
Greg Minor	31	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-15	3	18.6	15.1	3.46	17.0	14.9	2.12
Paul Pierce	59	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-12	-3	15.1	18.6	-3.46	14.9	17.0	-2.12
Kenny Anderson	50	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.17	-20	-7	-13	15.8	16.9	-1.06	15.5	15.9	-0.35
Antoine Walker	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.19	-21	-6	-15	16.5	15.2	1.29	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Vitaly Potapenko	62	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	-9	-9	17.2	14.2	2.99	15.7	15.7	0.03
Ron Mercer	68	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.18	-23	-4	-19	16.1	17.0	-0.85	14.9	18.4	-3.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	59	59	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.38	36	-9	45	15.9	15.4	0.51	16.5	15.9	0.62
Corie Blount	42	42	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.23	20	7	13	14.7	16.5	-1.83	17.7	15.1	2.54
Bob Sura	38	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	11	5	16.4	15.2	1.18	17.6	15.3	2.29
Danny Ferry	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	10	7	15.8	15.6	0.18	16.9	15.8	1.04
Mitchell Butler	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.23	17	10	7	15.0	16.1	-1.04	17.7	15.5	2.14
Shawn Kemp	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	17	-7	16.0	15.3	0.66	15.4	17.7	-2.40
Wesley Person	57	57	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	17	-7	16.1	15.0	1.04	15.5	17.7	-2.14
Brevin Knight	43	44	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.09	10	17	-7	15.5	15.9	-0.43	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Andrew DeClercq	43	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	20	-13	16.2	15.2	1.00	15.7	16.9	-1.26
Earl Boykins	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	13.9	15.9	-2.00	14.2	16.5	-2.26
Cedric Henderson	31	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	36	-45	15.4	15.9	-0.51	15.9	16.5	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 87, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 88, NJN 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIL 89, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%