NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	4.5 [881]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +20.4%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.0 [622]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -17.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.02	-0.02	20	76%	0.26	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	-0.00	-0.04	16	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Gary Trent	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.03	11	52%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dontonio Wingfield	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	13	47%	-0.00	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Dudley	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	5	15%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	4	87%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	9	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Donald Royal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.14	-0.02	-0.11	8	25%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	15	53%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	13	39%	-0.09	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	26.2	14.7	22.3	3.3	27.6	122.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.1%

GSW -3.6%

POR +1.8%

POR +10.0%

POR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	15.6	112.1	93.9	104.4
season	15.5	15.0		105.2	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	13.7	16.7	15.6	15.0
GSW	13.4	14.0	14.7	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	84	83	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.21	28	-10	38	14.8	15.9	-1.09	14.2	13.6	0.62
Clifford Robinson	87	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-2	22	15.1	14.0	1.15	14.0	14.4	-0.35
Isaiah Rider	70	68	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.13	22	-4	26	15.2	14.7	0.50	13.8	14.7	-0.96
Kenny Anderson	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	2	14	14.9	15.3	-0.46	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Chris Dudley	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	15	-12	16.6	13.1	3.51	14.7	13.4	1.29
Arvydas Sabonis	30	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	9	0	13.9	15.5	-1.59	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Aaron McKie	45	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	18	-18	15.1	14.9	0.14	14.1	14.1	0.01
Mitchell Butler	16	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	18	-18	13.6	15.3	-1.65	15.9	13.7	2.14
Gary Trent	31	30	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	22	-26	13.7	15.6	-1.85	12.8	14.6	-1.84
Dontonio Wingfield	6	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	22	-26	15.8	15.0	0.88	17.1	13.8	3.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Royal	11	10	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-19	20	12.9	14.2	-1.32	12.4	15.3	-2.90
Felton Spencer	17	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-12	6	12.8	14.4	-1.59	14.0	15.2	-1.20
B.J. Armstrong	25	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-14	10	14.0	14.1	-0.11	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Bimbo Coles	34	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-17	16	16.6	12.7	3.91	15.7	14.6	1.16
Donyell Marshall	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-12	6	14.7	13.7	1.04	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Ray Owes	45	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-12	6	15.6	12.8	2.79	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Mark Price	55	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	-3	-12	12.8	15.7	-2.84	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Chris Mullin	67	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-6	-6	13.8	14.6	-0.76	15.7	13.4	2.31
Joe Smith	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-6	-6	13.9	14.4	-0.46	15.2	14.5	0.72
Latrell Sprewell	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-4	-10	13.9	14.6	-0.64	15.2	14.5	0.74
Todd Fuller	61	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	-3	-12	13.5	15.0	-1.49	15.2	14.6	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 122, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
UTA 103, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%