NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	122		Excitement	4.1 [1025]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): +10.8%
LA Clippers	111		Comeback	1.3 [533]		LVP	Lou Williams (LAC): -7.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	19	56%	0.12	3	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	-0.00	0.09	23	66%	0.13	2	-0.03	12	83%	0.00
Derrick White	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	6	80%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	13	43%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	61%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	0.00	0.09	3	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	-0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	3	133%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	25%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	53%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	0.07	13	62%	0.02	4	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.11	14	60%	-0.02	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	14	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	26.4	14.6	32.2	1.8	34.2	137.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +21.4%

SAS +15.2%

LAC -0.7%

SAS +17.6%

LAC -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.6	12.7	14.3	110.9	101.8	109.3
season	14.8	13.9		111.7	111.3
opponent	14.1	14.4		110.7	110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.2	15.9	12.1	14.9	13.6
LAC	11.4	14.1	13.6	11.8	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	67	66	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.09	26	-15	41	14.5	12.3	2.24	12.8	12.5	0.31
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	80	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-8	27	14.5	11.1	3.41	12.7	12.5	0.23
DeMar DeRozan	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-2	15	13.6	13.9	-0.30	12.8	12.1	0.72
Bryn Forbes	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	14.7	11.5	3.17	12.4	13.2	-0.85
Rudy Gay	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	3	5	15.4	11.8	3.60	13.4	11.9	1.47
Davis Bertans	54	51	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	11	-11	12.3	14.9	-2.61	12.4	12.8	-0.41
Drew Eubanks	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	11.3	13.7	-2.38	11.3	12.7	-1.36
Quincy Pondexter	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	11.3	13.7	-2.38	11.3	12.7	-1.36
Dante Cunningham	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	11.3	13.7	-2.38	11.3	12.7	-1.36
Marco Belinelli	52	50	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	11	-11	12.2	14.9	-2.65	12.4	12.8	-0.39
Jakob Poeltl	26	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	16	-21	11.1	14.4	-3.31	12.6	12.7	-0.05
Patty Mills	47	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.10	-8	19	-27	12.1	14.8	-2.65	12.4	12.8	-0.40

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Wallace	33	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.08	10	-21	31	12.4	12.8	-0.37	12.4	14.2	-1.87
Patrick Beverley	52	51	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.13	11	-22	33	12.1	13.2	-1.06	13.8	13.5	0.33
Mike Scott	44	46	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.06	5	-16	21	13.3	12.2	1.12	12.6	14.4	-1.86
Sindarius Thornwell	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	13.0	12.6	0.37	10.8	13.8	-2.98
Boban Marjanovic	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-5	-1	11.3	12.9	-1.58	12.2	13.9	-1.70
Montrezl Harrell	62	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-9	7	12.7	12.6	0.06	13.6	13.7	-0.11
Lou Williams	63	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-4	-3	12.6	12.8	-0.23	13.0	14.5	-1.47
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-7	3	12.8	12.6	0.23	14.5	13.0	1.47
Marcin Gortat	9	9	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-1	-9	17.6	12.2	5.35	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Danilo Gallinari	65	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.12	-16	5	-21	12.2	13.3	-1.12	14.4	12.6	1.86
Avery Bradley	72	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.12	-18	7	-25	12.8	12.4	0.33	14.5	12.1	2.43
Tobias Harris	76	76	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.12	-19	8	-27	12.7	12.5	0.24	13.9	13.1	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 111, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
POR 114, VAN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
NYK 91, PHI 71	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%