NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	6.7 [451]		MVP	Byron Scott (LAL): +15.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	91		Comeback	7.5 [197]		LVP	Doug West (MIN): -25.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Sam Mitchell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	25	47%	0.00	4	-0.19	5	100%	0.04
James Robinson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.24	-0.04	-0.15	0.04	9	55%	-0.07	3	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
Doug West	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	9	29%	-0.10	3	-0.15	3	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.10	0.00	3	87%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.05	0.04	20	66%	0.14	3	-0.06	13	54%	-0.02
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.10	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.03	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.03	-0.00	16	39%	-0.06	7	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.3	25.6	16.7	22.4	2.3	35.5	131.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +33.2%

LAL +2.3%

LAL +10.8%

LAL +7.7%

MIN -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.6	92.4	97.8	104.4
season	15.5	15.3		103.3	105.8
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.5	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	19.0	15.0	17.9	14.1	16.4
LAL	13.2	15.6	14.0	15.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cherokee Parks	12	13	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.06	8	-14	22	13.2	16.9	-3.68	17.2	14.3	2.94
Dean Garrett	45	45	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.13	-1	-5	4	16.6	16.3	0.39	13.4	15.9	-2.43
Terry Porter	39	39	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.00	2	-8	10	19.2	14.5	4.70	14.2	15.0	-0.81
Shane Heal	3	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-6	6	7.3	16.8	-9.42	7.5	14.9	-7.36
Stojko Vrankovic	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-3	0	19.9	15.4	4.48	14.9	14.6	0.28
Chris Carr	31	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-3	0	15.4	17.0	-1.60	16.2	13.9	2.35
Doug West	61	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-3	0	17.0	15.4	1.60	13.9	16.2	-2.35
Tom Gugliotta	83	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	0	-6	16.6	15.1	1.48	14.6	15.9	-1.35
Sam Mitchell	37	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	-1	-4	15.1	17.4	-2.28	16.7	13.4	3.37
James Robinson	53	54	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	2	-10	14.5	19.2	-4.70	15.0	14.2	0.81
Kevin Garnett	75	77	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.34	-11	5	-16	16.7	15.1	1.63	14.3	16.6	-2.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Scott	37	37	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.32	19	-13	32	14.6	14.8	-0.22	15.4	17.2	-1.83
Corie Blount	47	47	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.26	16	-10	26	13.6	15.8	-2.14	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Shaquille O'Neal	78	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.30	10	-4	14	13.9	18.6	-4.65	17.2	12.5	4.67
Eddie Jones	82	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-5	16	14.0	19.8	-5.81	16.8	13.5	3.29
Derek Fisher	25	23	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.22	2	4	-2	17.5	13.7	3.80	15.2	16.9	-1.70
Nick Van Exel	68	69	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	2	2	13.7	17.5	-3.80	16.9	15.2	1.70
Travis Knight	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	10.0	14.7	-4.75	0.0	16.6	-16.63
Sean Rooks	14	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	10	-14	19.2	13.9	5.32	13.4	17.0	-3.56
Kobe Bryant	13	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	14	-22	17.2	14.3	2.94	13.2	16.9	-3.68
Elden Campbell	46	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.07	-10	16	-26	15.8	13.6	2.14	17.5	15.5	2.00
Cedric Ceballos	54	54	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.02	-10	16	-26	15.2	14.0	1.25	17.3	15.2	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.24,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.96,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	91.4%
HOU 98, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.1%
DEN 94, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.96,1,1	91.0%