NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	6.9 [302]		MVP	Bryce McGowens (NOP): +15.1%
Chicago Bulls	104		Comeback	1.9 [230]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -14.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce McGowens	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.08	-0.03	2	71%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Trey Murphy III	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.01	14	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jeremiah Fears	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	13	62%	0.19	3	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
Herbert Jones	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jose Alvarado	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karlo Matkovi?	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.04	0.05	14	55%	0.00	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.05
Derik Queen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	12	67%	0.17	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Coby White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.03	0.05	18	51%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	0.06	16	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	10	50%	0.00	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.3	29.9	13.6	28.9	1.4	33.0	132.6
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +18.0%

NOP +10.9%

NOP +19.8%

NOP +3.9%

CHI -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	14.2	112.9	103.0	113.5
season	14.2	13.7		111.3	112.8
opponent	14.3	14.1		117.1	117.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.5	14.5	15.5	16.0	15.4
CHI	14.5	13.2	13.9	11.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremiah Fears	65	65	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.26	16	-6	22	15.1	15.9	-0.78	13.5	12.6	0.85
Trey Murphy III	90	90	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.29	14	-4	18	15.4	14.9	0.50	13.1	13.5	-0.33
Saddiq Bey	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-3	16	14.8	16.3	-1.44	14.2	11.4	2.79
Jordan Poole	101	101	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	15.4	0.0	15.36	13.2	0.0	13.16
Zion Williamson	99	99	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	0	10	15.5	8.0	7.51	13.1	16.5	-3.41
Karlo Matkovi?	26	27	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	1	8	16.0	15.1	0.87	11.3	13.9	-2.59
Derik Queen	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	3	4	15.0	15.9	-0.96	14.0	11.9	2.08
Bryce McGowens	64	63	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	12	-14	15.0	16.0	-0.97	13.6	12.5	1.10
Jose Alvarado	75	74	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	9	-8	15.1	16.0	-0.87	13.9	11.3	2.59
Herbert Jones	55	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	16	-22	15.1	15.7	-0.66	13.4	12.9	0.45
Yves Missi	59	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	14	-18	15.2	15.6	-0.37	13.9	12.2	1.65

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	60	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-12	14	14.5	11.2	3.26	15.1	15.7	-0.65
Matas Buzelis	62	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-10	10	13.0	13.5	-0.49	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Jalen Smith	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-6	2	12.7	13.9	-1.23	15.5	15.1	0.41
Dalen Terry	90	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-5	0	13.1	13.9	-0.84	15.5	14.5	1.01
Coby White	99	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.3	6.0	7.30	15.3	24.0	-8.73
Tre Jones	96	96	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	-1	-8	13.1	14.6	-1.52	15.4	14.2	1.22
Patrick Williams	90	91	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	7	-24	13.7	8.5	5.18	14.8	20.7	-5.93
Josh Giddey	62	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	3	-16	13.5	12.7	0.76	14.6	16.6	-1.92
Kevin Huerter	91	91	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	4	-18	13.1	13.5	-0.38	15.4	14.6	0.84
Nikola Vu?evi?	86	87	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.29	-16	6	-22	13.3	12.3	1.05	15.2	16.4	-1.24
Isaac Okoro	70	70	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.17	-21	11	-32	13.7	12.0	1.67	14.4	17.5	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, NOH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.6%
PHI 96, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.04,0	92.4%
PHX 107, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.11,0.07,0,0.02,0	91.9%