NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	7.0 [397]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +31.2%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	2.2 [294]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -8.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31	0.16	0.14	-0.00	7	107%	0.32	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.12	0.02	17	66%	0.26	0	0.00	10	90%	0.06
Steve Nash	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.01	15	65%	0.27	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Grant Hill	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	3	50%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	11	63%	0.21	1	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	100%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	11	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	12	83%	0.03
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	19	54%	0.04	4	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	14	49%	-0.02	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.6	32.0	19.8	31.0	2.8	44.2	160.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +46.6%

SAS -4.3%

SAS -4.8%

PHX +14.6%

SAS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	13.6	15.3	109.2	105.2	106.0
season	14.4	15.9		113.5	108.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.9	15.7	16.8	15.9	16.1
SAS	14.7	13.1	15.9	11.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	75	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-2	10	16.2	15.7	0.43	13.8	12.9	0.90
Jared Dudley	66	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-6	18	15.9	16.4	-0.45	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Grant Hill	72	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	1	4	15.6	17.4	-1.79	13.0	15.5	-2.54
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	3	0	16.8	13.8	2.99	14.0	12.3	1.71
Leandro Barbosa	39	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-5	16	15.3	16.6	-1.31	14.0	13.4	0.62
Jason Richardson	70	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	8	-10	16.6	14.7	1.95	13.5	13.8	-0.24
Lou Amundson	17	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	14.0	16.5	-2.51	12.9	13.7	-0.86
Channing Frye	42	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	16.7	15.6	1.17	15.1	12.4	2.75
Goran Dragic	23	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	8	-10	15.7	16.2	-0.43	12.9	13.8	-0.90
Jarron Collins	11	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	11	-16	15.2	16.2	-1.00	12.2	13.8	-1.56

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	70	71	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-11	16	13.5	14.0	-0.50	17.4	12.6	4.75
Antonio McDyess	35	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.17	2	-8	10	15.7	12.4	3.38	16.9	15.5	1.40
Roger Mason Jr.	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-2	-2	13.3	13.6	-0.36	10.6	16.9	-6.29
DeJuan Blair	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-2	-2	15.8	13.3	2.52	14.6	16.3	-1.75
Matt Bonner	61	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-4	2	12.7	15.2	-2.53	15.8	16.6	-0.77
Tim Duncan	74	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-6	6	12.8	16.2	-3.36	16.4	15.1	1.31
George Hill	71	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-1	-4	13.2	14.8	-1.58	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Richard Jefferson	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	4	-14	14.3	12.0	2.27	16.3	15.6	0.62
Manu Ginobili	76	79	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.36	-10	4	-14	13.7	13.3	0.37	15.6	17.9	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.35,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.11,0.07,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0	93.9%
LAL 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.8%
SAC 115, MEM 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.09,0.1,0.14,0,0.02,0.01,0	92.8%