NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	111		Excitement	8.5 [170]		MVP	Michael Porter Jr. (BKN): +23.3%
Dallas Mavericks	119		Comeback	1.8 [525]		LVP	Ryan Nembhard (DAL): -17.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0.23	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.27,0.24,0.23	0.19	0.05	0.01	20	76%	0.42	4	-0.18	5	80%	0.02
Danny Wolf	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	10	71%	0.22	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Nic Claxton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Tyrese Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Terance Mann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drake Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Traore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	13	42%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Egor D�min	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	7	21%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.01	9	74%	0.19	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.11	0.00	7	64%	0.20	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0,-0.04,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	21	51%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	16	63%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	13	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	63%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Ryan Nembhard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	4	0%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.4	31.1	13.3	27.4	0.6	31.3	130.3
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +1.5%

BKN -1.5%

DAL +32.9%

DAL +17.6%

BKN -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.8	14.2	106.7	114.4	113.5
season	14.9	13.8		109.1	109.2
opponent	14.0	14.3		112.5	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.1	15.0	13.5	13.9	13.9
DAL	13.5	13.8	14.7	13.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrese Martin	64	65	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.03	7	-15	22	13.6	14.2	-0.62	14.2	13.2	1.08
Drake Powell	27	27	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-9	10	13.1	14.1	-0.97	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Ziaire Williams	68	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-4	0	13.4	14.7	-1.23	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Nolan Traore	19	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-3	-2	14.7	13.7	1.00	13.8	13.8	0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	71	70	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-7	6	13.8	13.9	-0.11	13.8	13.9	-0.17
Egor D�min	64	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-5	2	13.2	14.8	-1.60	14.4	13.0	1.39
Noah Clowney	95	95	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	-3	-2	13.8	14.9	-1.12	14.2	10.1	4.07
Danny Wolf	86	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	-2	-4	13.7	14.5	-0.77	13.8	13.9	-0.08
Nic Claxton	84	83	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	0	-8	13.6	14.9	-1.34	14.1	12.7	1.45
Terance Mann	82	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	2	-12	13.8	14.3	-0.52	14.3	12.3	1.95
Michael Porter Jr.	92	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	3	-14	13.8	14.6	-0.81	13.9	13.2	0.71

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naji Marshall	92	94	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-4	16	13.9	13.5	0.37	14.0	12.5	1.51
P.J. Washington	59	62	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.25	14	-6	20	14.0	13.6	0.48	13.5	14.4	-0.94
Cooper Flagg	102	102	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.22	13	-5	18	14.0	6.0	7.98	14.0	9.0	4.96
Anthony Davis	81	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-2	12	14.3	12.3	1.95	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Brandon Williams	90	92	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	2	4	13.8	14.3	-0.53	13.7	15.0	-1.28
Max Christie	104	104	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.27	8	0	8	13.8	0.0	13.83	13.9	0.0	13.87
Klay Thompson	91	92	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	5	-2	13.9	13.2	0.68	14.0	12.9	1.07
Dwight Powell	87	87	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	6	-4	14.0	13.1	0.92	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Ryan Nembhard	67	66	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	11	-14	14.7	12.3	2.42	13.9	13.8	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.43,0.66,0.49,0.48,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	92.6%
TOR 99, ATL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.94,1,1	91.8%
MEM 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.91,0.84,1	91.7%