NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	91		Excitement	7.6 [311]		MVP	Shane Battier (MIA): +32.7%
Miami Heat	98		Comeback	1.9 [965]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -16.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.17,0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	13	71%	0.32	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.08
Quincy Pondexter	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	91%	0.19	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.06
Austin Daye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	7	36%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Zach Randolph	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	16	39%	-0.07	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	5	117%	0.33	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.02	0.18	-0.00	12	50%	0.26	3	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	16	58%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.09
Mario Chalmers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.12	0.05	14	45%	0.08	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.07
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	0.3	30.4	17.8	29.3	3.5	41.8	154.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +58.1%

MEM -9.2%

MEM -7.6%

MIA +10.1%

MEM -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIA	NBA	MEM	MIA	NBA
this game	17.3	14.9	15.4	102.2	108.9	104.1
season	16.5	15.7		102.9	110.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.4	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.2	21.0	16.5	15.2	17.3
MIA	15.5	14.3	14.8	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	67	66	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-12	17	17.4	17.1	0.27	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Tayshaun Prince	65	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-11	15	17.4	17.3	0.06	14.6	15.5	-0.86
Mike Conley	65	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-9	11	17.6	16.6	0.98	14.0	16.8	-2.80
Ed Davis	18	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-4	1	15.9	17.7	-1.82	16.5	14.4	2.18
Tony Allen	51	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	18.2	16.1	2.10	15.6	14.0	1.53
Jerryd Bayless	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	16.7	17.6	-0.91	16.8	13.9	2.92
Austin Daye	22	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.06	-9	2	-11	16.0	17.8	-1.72	13.5	15.3	-1.79
Darrell Arthur	22	22	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	1	-9	17.5	17.3	0.22	15.7	14.6	1.09
Quincy Pondexter	38	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	2	-11	16.3	18.1	-1.83	13.7	16.0	-2.31
Zach Randolph	68	68	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	1	-9	17.9	15.4	2.50	15.2	13.9	1.31

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	67	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-7	21	14.6	15.5	-0.89	17.3	17.4	-0.04
Shane Battier	49	47	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	0	7	15.6	14.0	1.62	16.7	18.1	-1.44
Ray Allen	55	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	0	7	14.8	15.0	-0.19	17.1	17.7	-0.67
Chris Bosh	60	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	3	1	14.1	16.3	-2.22	17.7	16.5	1.22
LeBron James	78	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	8	-9	15.0	13.8	1.18	17.3	17.3	0.07
Norris Cole	40	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	1	5	14.3	15.3	-0.96	16.8	17.8	-1.00
Chris Andersen	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	4	-1	16.3	14.1	2.22	16.5	17.7	-1.22
Udonis Haslem	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	6	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.42	17.0	17.5	-0.53
Mario Chalmers	31	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	15.9	14.3	1.55	19.2	16.2	2.93
Joel Anthony	1	1	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	0.0	15.0	-15.02	21.0	17.3	3.70
Rashard Lewis	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	12.9	15.0	-2.17	19.1	17.2	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 106, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.79,0.92,0.74,1	93.3%
CHA 97, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.96,1	92.6%
MEM 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.91,1	92.5%