NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	8.5 [201]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): +26.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.8 [241]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (LAL): -18.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.24	0.07	0.13	-0.04	17	53%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Troy Daniels	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.01	13	77%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	10	70%	0.25	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.02	8	81%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.04,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	10	64%	0.16	2	-0.17	2	100%	0.02
Wade Baldwin IV	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	16	37%	-0.09	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.09	0.19	0.01	17	68%	0.38	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.07
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.17	-0.00	9	55%	0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.00	8	60%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	12	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	9	52%	-0.01	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.09
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	12	29%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.3	14.8	23.0	2.4	42.4	133.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -38.9%

LAL +22.9%

LAL +44.5%

LAL +20.1%

LAL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	14.8	109.6	114.9	107.7
season	16.1	14.5		106.4	104.8
opponent	14.4	14.9		111.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.4	17.6	16.7	14.5	15.7
LAL	14.4	15.1	16.0	14.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Selden	53	51	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-9	13	16.4	14.8	1.60	16.1	13.5	2.52
Brandan Wright	65	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-5	5	15.7	15.8	-0.14	15.3	14.2	1.02
Wade Baldwin IV	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	6	-17	16.1	15.6	0.54	13.6	15.5	-1.91
James Ennis III	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.41	6	-11	17	15.2	17.5	-2.31	15.0	14.6	0.43
Tony Allen	59	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-3	1	16.4	14.6	1.81	15.4	13.9	1.54
Mike Conley	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-9	13	15.0	18.0	-3.00	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Zach Randolph	60	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.26	-13	8	-21	16.0	15.2	0.87	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Troy Daniels	60	61	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.32	-13	8	-21	15.5	16.1	-0.60	14.4	15.9	-1.55

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	79	80	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-7	19	14.9	15.1	-0.27	15.9	15.0	0.86
Tyler Ennis	43	45	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	15.1	14.7	0.43	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Jordan Clarkson	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	14.9	14.9	0.02	15.8	15.6	0.20
Corey Brewer	25	25	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.01	11	-6	17	15.1	14.8	0.29	17.2	15.2	2.00
Julius Randle	70	71	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.35	-4	9	-13	14.8	15.3	-0.52	15.4	16.8	-1.45
D'Angelo Russell	71	71	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.34	-9	14	-23	14.9	14.8	0.10	15.3	17.2	-1.91
Thomas Robinson	39	37	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	15.2	14.7	0.56	16.1	15.5	0.66
David Nwaba	30	29	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	4	-3	14.3	15.2	-0.94	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Brandon Ingram	46	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	10	-15	14.9	14.9	0.06	15.9	15.6	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.59,0.83,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	93.5%
MEM 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.91,0.84,1	92.5%
LAL 111, POR 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.55,0.84,0.99,1	92.2%