NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	113		Excitement	10.4 [20]		MVP	Amen Thompson (HOU): +57.0%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	2.5 [231]		LVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): -63.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivica Zubac	0.38	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.38	0.26	0.16	0.04	14	85%	0.41	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.07
James Harden	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.23	0.01	0.21	-0.01	18	54%	0.35	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	4	83%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
John Collins	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.07	0.05	-0.11	0.02	22	51%	0.06	1	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Kobe Sanders	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.57	0.57	0.13	0.44	0.01	12	71%	0.60	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	9	65%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reed Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	9	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	14	56%	0.13	4	-0.21	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	52%	0.09	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.04
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.12,-0.63	-0.63	-0.11	-0.49	0.03	22	44%	-0.51	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.4	28.2	0.0	27.6	0.0	47.1	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -51.7%

LAC -0.3%

HOU +110.2%

LAC -8.1%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	14.1	116.5	118.6	113.7
season	15.4	15.2		112.6	119.9
opponent	13.8	13.8		109.7	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	14.3	14.6	12.1	13.9
HOU	15.7	17.7	15.4	14.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	55	54	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-2	2	14.7	12.8	1.96	16.7	14.6	2.06
Kobe Sanders	49	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.11	-17	15	-32	15.8	12.0	3.76	14.8	16.7	-1.90
Kawhi Leonard	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-1	0	14.0	13.5	0.46	15.8	15.6	0.21
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	96	95	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	0	-2	13.8	21.0	-7.18	15.9	6.5	9.45
Nicolas Batum	96	95	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	0	-2	13.8	21.0	-7.18	15.9	6.5	9.45
Ivica Zubac	90	90	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-2	2	14.0	12.9	1.12	16.2	9.7	6.51
Brook Lopez	82	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	5	-12	14.5	10.7	3.82	16.5	11.6	4.91
James Harden	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.9	0.0	13.90	15.8	0.0	15.75
Kris Dunn	77	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.41	-5	3	-8	13.8	14.1	-0.26	16.2	14.2	1.99

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	79	79	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-6	14	15.3	17.7	-2.42	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Aaron Holiday	62	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.47	5	-3	8	16.0	15.3	0.78	13.4	14.7	-1.28
Steven Adams	88	88	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-7	16	16.7	6.3	10.38	14.5	8.1	6.38
Kevin Durant	97	96	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.45	2	0	2	15.8	0.0	15.75	14.0	0.0	14.04
Reed Sheppard	90	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-4	10	16.3	9.0	7.28	13.8	15.4	-1.65
Amen Thompson	95	94	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	2	-2	15.9	7.5	8.43	13.9	14.3	-0.45
Alperen Sengun	96	96	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	2	-2	15.9	6.0	9.85	14.0	0.0	14.04
Jabari Smith Jr.	89	90	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	-2	6	15.9	14.2	1.64	14.3	9.0	5.28
Clint Capela	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	1	0	20.1	15.1	4.94	13.6	13.9	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.52,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.59,0.71,0.6,0.68,0.83,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 107, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.94,1,1	92.4%
ATL 100, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.32,0.58,0.43,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.92,1	92.4%
BKN 109, CLE 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.65,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.94,1,1	92.1%