NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	1.7 [584]		MVP	Bogdan Bogdanovi? (LAC): +24.3%
LA Clippers	115		Comeback	1.8 [762]		LVP	Pat Spencer (GSW): -7.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Bassey	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.09	0.02	6	80%	0.24	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.02	14	67%	0.17	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.00
Malevy Leons	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	4	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kristaps Porzi??is	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.03	0.03	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Seth Curry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gui Santos	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Richard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	7	56%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pat Spencer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.08	-0.01	9	94%	0.26	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.09	-0.02	5	90%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	6	69%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jordan Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	6	82%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.03	17	50%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
John Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	-0.00	0.02	12	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	17	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.7	27.1	14.3	29.2	0.5	34.1	134.4
league avg	26.5	1.9	29.2	14.2	29.9	2.1	32.8	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.5%

GSW -4.6%

LAC +2.8%

LAC +3.3%

GSW -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	14.2	118.3	119.8	113.4
season	14.7	14.9		112.8	115.2
opponent	14.3	13.8		114.1	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	18.9	11.6	16.0	15.6
LAC	13.6	14.1	15.1	16.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	50	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-4	3	15.2	16.0	-0.76	14.4	15.4	-1.06
Seth Curry	58	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-3	1	15.1	16.5	-1.39	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Gui Santos	71	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-4	3	15.5	16.0	-0.48	15.0	14.3	0.70
Stephen Curry	70	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-4	3	15.4	16.3	-0.95	15.0	14.4	0.55
Brandin Podziemski	66	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.23	-5	0	-5	15.1	16.8	-1.67	14.8	15.1	-0.36
Malevy Leons	75	75	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-5	5	15.1	17.8	-2.71	15.2	13.8	1.40
Gary Payton II	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	2	-9	15.3	16.1	-0.72	15.0	14.6	0.37
Kristaps Porzi??is	62	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	4	-13	15.7	15.3	0.45	14.2	16.3	-2.17
De'Anthony Melton	53	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	5	-15	15.5	15.7	-0.23	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Charles Bassey	76	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.2	17.3	-2.08	15.0	14.2	0.87
Pat Spencer	80	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.3	17.3	-2.00	14.9	14.5	0.46
Will Richard	77	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	15.7	15.2	0.49	15.0	14.2	0.82
Nate Williams	54	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.36	-6	1	-7	15.1	16.2	-1.10	15.6	13.8	1.79

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	85	84	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-6	17	14.8	15.0	-0.16	15.6	15.4	0.16
Bennedict Mathurin	92	90	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	-4	13	14.9	13.5	1.41	15.7	12.7	3.02
Jordan Miller	88	87	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	14.9	13.9	1.07	15.7	14.2	1.52
Nicolas Batum	85	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	2	1	15.1	13.0	2.09	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Kobe Sanders	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	2	1	15.1	14.1	1.00	15.5	16.0	-0.51
John Collins	55	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	-5	15	14.7	15.1	-0.42	16.2	14.9	1.32
Derrick Jones Jr.	62	58	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	4	-3	14.2	16.0	-1.73	15.2	16.2	-0.93
Kris Dunn	59	56	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	6	-7	14.6	15.3	-0.77	15.4	15.9	-0.45
Brook Lopez	57	54	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	14.3	15.6	-1.28	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Darius Garland	62	58	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	11	-17	14.5	15.4	-0.91	15.3	16.1	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, MIA 121	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.0%
MIN 104, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
SEA 101, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.64,0.45,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.9%