NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	7.4 [383]		MVP	Luka Garza (BOS): +42.9%
Boston Celtics	113		Comeback	4.0 [54]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -19.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0.30	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.3	0.08	0.23	0.01	17	68%	0.38	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Cain	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jevon Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan da Silva	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Franz Wagner	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	18	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	21%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.02
Paolo Banchero	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	22	42%	0.01	6	-0.20	11	82%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Garza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.43	0.43	0.15	0.29	0.01	18	67%	0.48	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Baylor Scheierman	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	20	62%	0.25	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.03
Ron Harper Jr.	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	20	64%	0.21	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Tonje	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amari Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Max Shulga	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	9	41%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.4	34.0	15.3	28.6	1.8	42.8	151.1
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +52.6%

BOS +1.5%

ORL -16.5%

BOS +10.5%

BOS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	12.5	14.6	14.2	101.9	106.6	113.5
season	14.1	15.5		112.3	118.7
opponent	14.3	14.2		110.7	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	11.9	13.1	14.6	10.9	12.5
BOS	16.3	12.2	14.8	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan da Silva	68	69	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-5	5	12.8	12.2	0.61	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Desmond Bane	42	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-16	27	11.6	13.2	-1.58	15.2	14.2	0.93
Jalen Suggs	93	93	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-6	7	12.5	12.9	-0.43	14.2	17.1	-2.83
Paolo Banchero	94	95	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-5	5	12.7	11.7	0.99	14.3	17.1	-2.79
Jamal Cain	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	6	-17	13.3	10.5	2.77	14.5	14.9	-0.40
Wendell Carter Jr.	79	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	1	-7	12.4	13.0	-0.66	14.6	14.5	0.13
Goga Bitadze	103	103	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.35	-5	0	-5	12.6	10.3	2.28	14.9	3.0	11.93
Franz Wagner	106	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	12.5	0.0	12.55	14.6	0.0	14.59
Anthony Black	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	0	-5	12.4	12.9	-0.52	15.7	11.6	4.11
Jevon Carter	47	48	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	0.04	-27	22	-49	14.3	11.1	3.18	13.8	15.2	-1.39

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Tonje	105	105	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	0	5	14.7	5.0	9.69	12.6	2.0	10.65
Dalano Banton	106	106	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.6	0.0	14.59	12.5	0.0	12.55
Amari Williams	58	57	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-6	17	15.2	13.8	1.43	13.7	11.2	2.57
Jordan Walsh	106	105	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	0	5	14.6	0.0	14.59	12.6	2.0	10.65
Baylor Scheierman	104	103	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	0	5	14.8	4.5	10.29	12.7	8.7	3.99
Luka Garza	105	105	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	2	1	14.7	5.0	9.69	12.6	2.0	10.65
Ron Harper Jr.	89	89	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-4	13	14.4	15.4	-0.97	13.2	9.0	4.22
Max Shulga	51	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	3	-1	15.3	13.9	1.42	12.9	12.2	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.19,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.89,0.78,0.85,0.99,1	93.8%
ATL 97, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%