inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 97 Excitement5.6 [722] MVPDerek Fisher (GSW): +14.3%
Golden State Warriors 122 Comeback4.9 [510] LVPMike Dunleavy (GSW): -12.8%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donta Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.01250%0.0200.0000%0.00
John Edwards0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Royal Ivey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Esteban Batista0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.06-0.010.051057%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Tyronn Lue-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.011257%0.084-0.10475%0.00
Al Harrington-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.03-0.011753%0.063-0.0800%0.00
Zaza Pachulia-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.011146%0.023-0.08683%0.01
Josh Childress-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.01936%-0.042-0.03450%-0.03
Joe Johnson-0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.040.041845%-0.071-0.032100%0.00
Josh Smith-0.100,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.02-0.03845%-0.035-0.07475%0.01
Salim Stoudamire-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.03-0.0050%-0.111-0.0200%0.00

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.020.01586%0.1400.00475%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.130.020.05974%0.121-0.02978%0.01
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.010.02890%0.143-0.05540%-0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.070.030.042355%0.092-0.04580%0.01
Baron Davis0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.04-0.011152%0.082-0.05757%-0.02
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01280%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.06290%0.021-0.02683%0.00
Andris Biedrins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.0510%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Chris Taft0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.02350%-0.0200.0020%-0.04
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.160.01-0.021042%0.037-0.16667%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.11.835.615.827.81.730.3141.2
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +60.5%
GSW +12.1%
ATL -26.4%
GSW +6.3%
ATL -2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLGSWNBAATLGSWNBA
this game16.112.515.696.0122.0104.4
season15.614.8103.9102.9
opponent15.515.5104.0109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.415.718.814.716.1
GSW11.313.111.214.712.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donta Smith16140.16-0.660.830.141-262716.416.10.3711.812.6-0.84
John Edwards15140.11-0.610.710.110-252512.416.8-4.3813.912.31.57
Royal Ivey650.00-0.500.500.15-5-201514.516.2-1.7312.412.5-0.12
Josh Childress7775-0.14-0.360.220.27-14-11-315.418.6-3.2712.911.31.64
Zaza Pachulia6870-0.19-0.310.120.14-11-14316.016.4-0.3512.811.90.92
Tyronn Lue4746-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-191316.515.80.6712.112.9-0.82
Esteban Batista1311-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-8-17919.215.73.5611.112.7-1.59
Al Harrington6262-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.00-10-15516.415.70.7112.712.20.44
Joe Johnson6768-0.33-0.17-0.150.14-16-9-715.517.4-1.8513.211.02.17
Salim Stoudamire2221-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.07-12-13119.815.14.7210.713.0-2.33
Marvin Williams5150-0.45-0.05-0.390.08-18-7-1117.015.31.6812.712.40.30
Josh Smith6164-0.510.01-0.520.25-261-2715.716.8-1.1511.713.9-2.11

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Dunleavy83810.74-0.240.98-0.1129-43312.413.0-0.5916.215.70.47
Derek Fisher38410.63-0.130.770.052051511.812.9-1.1217.914.92.99
Jason Richardson88870.450.050.39-0.172141712.611.80.7716.116.1-0.02
Baron Davis60600.310.190.13-0.041213-111.613.8-2.2316.815.11.65
Chris Taft36380.240.26-0.03-0.291871112.512.5-0.0616.016.2-0.16
Mickael Pietrus49490.170.33-0.16-0.181213-113.012.01.0015.516.7-1.24
Adonal Foyle44450.160.34-0.190.07322-1912.712.40.3516.216.10.09
Troy Murphy53520.070.43-0.35-0.01322-1912.712.30.4815.416.9-1.53
Aaron Miles21210.000.50-0.49-0.17619-1315.011.93.0913.616.8-3.17
Andris Biedrins77-0.020.52-0.54-0.14421-1711.412.6-1.1615.716.2-0.45
Calbert Cheaney79-0.120.62-0.74-0.00-429-3312.912.50.3717.116.01.08
Zarko Cabarkapa1415-0.140.64-0.77-0.17124-2311.812.6-0.8416.016.2-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 85, POR 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.5%
LAL 100, ATL 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,193.5%
ATL 76, PHI 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.5%