NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	5.2 [795]		MVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): +22.0%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	3.3 [605]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -15.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.03	8	95%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Nick Young	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.02	0.03	14	72%	0.18	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Robert Sacre	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	9	73%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Xavier Henry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	14	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Shawne Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.20	-0.03	-0.07	14	28%	-0.09	5	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	6	93%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	17	54%	0.12	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	13	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	16	47%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	1.5	26.9	13.8	25.9	2.3	29.3	120.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.1%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +6.5%

ATL +11.3%

LAL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.1	104.2	122.6	105.2
season	14.0	14.8		102.9	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.8		104.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	15.3	18.5	14.6	15.3
ATL	13.8	13.5	15.1	19.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-14	14	13.9	15.9	-1.95	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Ryan Kelly	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-12	10	15.2	15.3	-0.16	15.8	15.1	0.68
Nick Young	67	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-11	8	14.6	16.8	-2.20	15.6	14.3	1.30
Pau Gasol	63	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-10	6	15.9	14.2	1.74	15.4	14.7	0.66
Kobe Bryant	63	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-10	6	15.9	14.2	1.74	15.4	14.7	0.66
Xavier Henry	55	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-9	4	14.3	16.7	-2.39	15.9	14.3	1.59
Robert Sacre	33	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-4	-6	14.2	15.9	-1.74	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Jordan Hill	54	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-2	-10	16.1	14.3	1.75	15.6	14.6	1.02
Wesley Johnson	55	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	5	-24	16.3	14.0	2.30	14.1	16.6	-2.44
Jodie Meeks	48	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	-3	-8	15.5	15.1	0.37	14.8	15.7	-0.91

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	74	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.02	18	-4	22	15.1	15.6	-0.56	15.6	13.9	1.69
Al Horford	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	1	12	15.7	14.2	1.44	15.9	14.2	1.64
Jeff Teague	74	77	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	6	2	15.6	13.6	2.02	15.3	15.4	-0.16
Paul Millsap	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	8	-2	15.2	15.0	0.22	15.3	15.4	-0.09
DeMarre Carroll	53	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	6	2	15.5	14.7	0.85	15.7	14.8	0.89
Elton Brand	34	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	8	-2	14.5	15.6	-1.12	14.8	15.6	-0.87
Shelvin Mack	33	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	9	-4	14.8	15.4	-0.66	15.3	15.3	0.05
Louis Williams	45	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	11	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.17	14.3	16.2	-1.94
Mike Scott	26	28	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	11	-8	14.8	15.3	-0.52	14.8	15.5	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.66,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 84, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DEN 81, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.65,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHA 92, LAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.55,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.84,0.93,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%