NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	85		Excitement	4.3 [946]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +13.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	98		Comeback	3.3 [841]		LVP	Michael Dickerson (VAN): -9.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obinna Ekezie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	80%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Felipe Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.02	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	15	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Bryant Reeves	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Michael Dickerson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	15	51%	-0.03	2	-0.07	9	56%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.01	12	71%	0.15	1	-0.02	14	100%	0.06
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.03	9	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.04	0.05	15	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	28.4	17.7	33.0	2.6	29.6	139.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.7%

POR +13.0%

VAN -6.8%

POR +16.4%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	POR	NBA	VAN	POR	NBA
this game	18.2	16.7	15.2	102.4	119.5	101.7
season	15.9	15.9		99.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.0		99.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	18.7	17.6	19.7	16.6	18.2
POR	16.4	17.5	14.6	18.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	24	25	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-20	27	14.8	19.5	-4.68	18.6	15.9	2.67
Bryant Reeves	39	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-11	9	19.2	17.2	2.03	17.1	16.4	0.71
Milt Palacio	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-10	7	20.2	17.8	2.37	16.2	16.9	-0.64
Obinna Ekezie	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-9	5	20.4	17.6	2.84	16.4	16.8	-0.42
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	17.9	19.9	-2.06	16.3	19.4	-3.13
Othella Harrington	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	0	-13	18.7	16.6	2.12	16.5	17.5	-0.98
Dennis Scott	52	53	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	-3	-7	17.5	19.3	-1.81	17.1	16.1	0.99
Mike Bibby	70	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	-3	-7	17.8	20.2	-2.37	16.9	16.2	0.64
Michael Dickerson	67	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	5	-23	18.5	16.7	1.74	16.3	18.3	-1.96

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	68	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.04	23	-10	33	16.1	20.0	-3.93	18.3	17.5	0.79
Steven Smith	62	63	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-4	21	16.3	18.2	-1.99	18.0	18.6	-0.65
Jermaine O'Neal	35	33	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.17	14	-1	15	15.6	17.6	-1.95	17.8	18.4	-0.51
Greg Anthony	44	43	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.17	13	0	13	17.0	16.5	0.50	17.3	19.1	-1.77
Scottie Pippen	57	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	2	9	17.4	15.4	1.99	18.0	18.5	-0.54
Stacey Augmon	31	30	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.14	-5	18	-23	17.0	16.6	0.36	16.1	19.3	-3.27
Brian Grant	37	41	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	12	-11	17.9	15.8	2.14	20.4	16.0	4.41
Damon Stoudamire	38	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	13	-13	16.5	17.0	-0.50	19.1	17.3	1.77
Detlef Schrempf	31	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	16	-19	17.3	16.4	0.88	18.4	18.0	0.34
Bonzi Wells	7	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	19	-25	18.6	16.6	2.00	16.2	18.4	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.83,0.87,0.78,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
ATL 97, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIL 96, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.96,1	93.9%